Wichita County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of Wichita County, TX was in severe drought (D2), with 11% at extreme drought (D3); week 13 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Over 90 days rain is at 77% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 161% (well above normal); the best rain chance this week is 44% on Monday (high 83°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Wichita County with up to 5 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Apache, 66 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 161% of normal
- Last 60 days 106% of normal
- Last 90 days 77% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy, high 80°, low 64°, 2% rain, wind 10–14 mph
- Monday Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 83°, low 55°, 44% rain, wind 10–24 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 73°, low 48°, 0% rain, wind 3–20 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 75°, low 49°, 2% rain, wind 6–7 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 73°, low 45°, 1% rain, wind 6–12 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 70°, low 45°, 4% rain, wind 5–7 mph
- Saturday Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 70°, low 47°, 16% rain, wind 3–8 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Wichita County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Wichita County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Wichita County
Forecast for the center point of Wichita County.
- Today Mostly Cloudy 80° 64° SE 10–14 mph 2% rain
- Mon Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 83° 55° S 10–24 mph 44% rain
- Tue Sunny 73° 48° NW 3–20 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 75° 49° WSW 6–7 mph 2% rain
- Thu Sunny 73° 45° NW 6–12 mph 1% rain
- Fri Sunny 70° 45° NNE 5–7 mph 4% rain
- Sat Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers 70° 47° NW 3–8 mph 16% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No burn ban
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.00 in; same month last year 1.87 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Wichita County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Wichita Falls Muni Ap weather station (12 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 228-day growing season |
Mar 26 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 14 |
Nov 9 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 25 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 250-day growing season |
Mar 12 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 1 |
Nov 18 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 2 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Wichita Falls Muni Ap), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Wichita County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Wichita County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Wichita County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Wichita County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 11% of the county. 13 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Wichita County?
No burn ban is listed for Wichita County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Wichita County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Apache (66 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; El Reno (115 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Ada (128 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.