Waller County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Waller County, TX was abnormally dry (D0) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, with 19% at moderate drought (D1); 19% of the county is in moderate drought (D1) or worse, down from 100% four weeks earlier. Rain has run 80% of normal over the last 90 days; Tuesday carries the week's highest rain chance at 91% (high 77°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 8–12 leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Waller County with up to 4 monthly payments, and Giddings is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 58 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days not read yet
- Last 60 days 103% of normal
- Last 90 days 80% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 8–12) Leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 10–16) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 86°, low 69°, 10% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Tuesday Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms, high 77°, low 53°, 91% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 75°, low 53°, 0% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 78°, low 58°, 33% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 75°, low 54°, 6% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Saturday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 70°, low 51°, 17% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Sunday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 68°, low 48°, 15% rain, wind 0–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 2, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
PRF pasture insurance: sign up by Dec 1, 2026
The 2027 Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) insurance sales closing date for Waller County is Dec 1, 2026, 29 days from today. PRF (Rainfall Index) pays on a rainfall index for your grid, not on your own rain gauge. You buy it through a crop insurance agent.
How PRF works · PRF 2027 sign-up · Find your grid on RMA's PRF tool
Date from USDA RMA's actuarial data, read Aug 28, 2026 · RMA dates map. Your agent confirms the date for your policy.
Waller County grass production
In 2025, grassland and pasture in Waller County grew about 4,465 pounds per acre of grass and forbs, 127% of the county's 1991-2020 normal of 3,507 pounds per acre. That was the 3rd best of 40 years on record (1986-2025). Best year: 2017 at 4,567 pounds per acre; worst: 1986 at 879.
Pounds per acre of new grass and forbs each year on rangeland and pasture, from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (satellite-based estimates). See every year on the Land tab.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Waller County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Waller County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
Loading prices…
Loading drought…
Loading programs…
Weather for Waller County
Forecast for the center point of Waller County.
- Today Mostly Sunny 86° 69° S 5–15 mph 10% rain
- Tue Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms 77° 53° SW 5–10 mph 91% rain
- Wed Sunny 75° 53° N 0–5 mph 0% rain
- Thu Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 78° 58° SE 0–5 mph 33% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 75° 54° N 0–10 mph 6% rain
- Sat Slight Chance Rain Showers then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 70° 51° N 5–10 mph 17% rain
- Sun Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers 68° 48° N 0–10 mph 15% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 2, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No burn ban
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 2, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 2, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 4.34 in; same month last year 1.51 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (75 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 2, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Waller County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Bellville 6nne weather station (14 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 279-day growing season |
Feb 28 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 20 |
Dec 2 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 12 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 311-day growing season |
Feb 11 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 9 |
Dec 16 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 23 |
short record Based on only 16 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Sealy weather station (19 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 276-day growing season |
Feb 28 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 21 |
Nov 30 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 9 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 314-day growing season |
Feb 10 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 9 |
Dec 20 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 20 |
short record Based on only 11 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Bellville 6nne, Sealy), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
Loading money…
Loading deadlines…
Loading land…
Common questions and nearby counties
Is Waller County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Waller County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Waller County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Waller County was in abnormally dry (D0), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 19% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Waller County?
No burn ban is listed for Waller County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Waller County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (58 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.