Torrance County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of Torrance County, NM was in severe drought (D2), with 17% at extreme drought (D3), and D2-or-worse drought has held there 31 weeks running. Over 90 days rain is at 211% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 153% (well above normal); today carries the week's highest rain chance at 89% (high 65°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. Torrance County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 5 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Belen, 54 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 153% of normal
- Last 60 days 306% of normal
- Last 90 days 211% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Showers And Thunderstorms, high 65°, low 43°, 89% rain, wind 20–25 mph
- Monday Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 55°, low 32°, 61% rain, wind 10–30 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 60°, low 32°, 0% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 62°, low 32°, 2% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 59°, low 30°, 1% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 61°, low 31°, 12% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Saturday Sunny, high 59°, low 30°, 11% rain, wind 0–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Torrance County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Torrance County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
Loading prices…
Loading drought…
Loading programs…
Weather for Torrance County
Forecast for the center point of Torrance County.
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning
- Severe Thunderstorm Watch
- Freeze on 6 nights
- Windy on 2 days
- Today Showers And Thunderstorms 65° 43° S 20–25 mph 89% rain
- Mon Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny 55° 32° W 10–30 mph 61% rain
- Tue Sunny 60° 32° NW 5–10 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 62° 32° SW 5–15 mph 2% rain
- Thu Sunny 59° 30° NW 0–5 mph 1% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 61° 31° W 0–10 mph 12% rain
- Sat Sunny 59° 30° NW 0–10 mph 11% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No state restrictions
New Mexico Forestry Division (state forester) restrictions for non-municipal, non-federal, non-Tribal land in Torrance County (source), as of Oct 6, 2026. County rules and federal-land rules are separate; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
- Severe Thunderstorm Watch Severe
Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued November 1 at 4:11PM MST until November 1 at 9:00PM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM - Severe Thunderstorm Warning Severe
Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued November 1 at 4:33PM MST until November 1 at 5:00PM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 1.74 in; same month last year 2.97 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
Nearest current perimeter: Frijoles (Wildfire, NM), about 91 mi from the county center; 15,949 acres, 100% contained, perimeter of Sep 14, 2026.
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Torrance County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Estancia 4n weather station (20 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 135-day growing season |
May 18 1 year in 10 it's after Jun 2 |
Oct 1 1 year in 10 it's before Sep 21 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 156-day growing season |
May 5 1 year in 10 it's after May 21 |
Oct 10 1 year in 10 it's before Sep 27 |
Mountainair weather station (21 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 167-day growing season |
May 2 1 year in 10 it's after May 18 |
Oct 19 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 4 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 189-day growing season |
Apr 21 1 year in 10 it's after May 7 |
Oct 30 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 15 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Estancia 4n, Mountainair), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
Loading money…
Loading deadlines…
Loading land…
Common questions and nearby counties
Is Torrance County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Torrance County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Torrance County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Torrance County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 17% of the county. 31 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Torrance County?
No burn ban is listed for Torrance County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Torrance County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Belen (54 mi), last report Oct 30, 2026; Roswell (112 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026; Clovis (152 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 10, 2026: First half of property taxes due to the county treasurer; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.