Throckmorton County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Throckmorton County, TX in severe drought (D2), and D2-or-worse drought has held there 6 weeks running. Rain has run 113% of normal over the last 30 days (near normal) and 60% over 90 days, so the past month has been wetter than the season so far; Monday carries the week's highest rain chance at 35% (high 84°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. Throckmorton County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 1 monthly payment, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Apache, 129 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 113% of normal
- Last 60 days 83% of normal
- Last 90 days 60% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy, high 81°, low 66°, 3% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Monday Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 84°, low 55°, 35% rain, wind 10–20 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 73°, low 49°, 0% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 75°, low 50°, 1% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 74°, low 46°, 1% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 69°, low 46°, 8% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 70°, low 47°, 17% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
PRF pasture insurance: sign up by Dec 1, 2026
The 2027 Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) insurance sales closing date for Throckmorton County is Dec 1, 2026, 30 days from today. PRF (Rainfall Index) pays on a rainfall index for your grid, not on your own rain gauge. You buy it through a crop insurance agent.
How PRF works · PRF 2027 sign-up · Find your grid on RMA's PRF tool
Date from USDA RMA's actuarial data, read Aug 28, 2026 · RMA dates map. Your agent confirms the date for your policy.
Throckmorton County grass production
In 2025, grassland and pasture in Throckmorton County grew about 2,739 pounds per acre of grass and forbs, 112% of the county's 1991-2020 normal of 2,435 pounds per acre. That was the 13th best of 40 years on record (1986-2025). Best year: 2019 at 3,225 pounds per acre; worst: 1986 at 1,293.
Pounds per acre of new grass and forbs each year on rangeland and pasture, from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (satellite-based estimates). See every year on the Land tab.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Throckmorton County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
A county next to Throckmorton County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Knox County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Stephens County, TX). The IRS counts your county plus every county touching it.
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
Loading prices…
Loading drought…
Loading programs…
Weather for Throckmorton County
Forecast for the center point of Throckmorton County.
- Today Mostly Cloudy 81° 66° SSE 5–10 mph 3% rain
- Mon Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 84° 55° SSW 10–20 mph 35% rain
- Tue Sunny 73° 49° NW 5–15 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 75° 50° SW 0–5 mph 1% rain
- Thu Sunny 74° 46° WNW 5–10 mph 1% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 69° 46° N 0–5 mph 8% rain
- Sat Slight Chance Rain Showers 70° 47° WNW 0–5 mph 17% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Apr 12, 2021.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.04 in; same month last year 1.26 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Throckmorton County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Throckmorton 10n weather station (10 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 223-day growing season |
Mar 29 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 16 |
Nov 7 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 23 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 246-day growing season |
Mar 14 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 3 |
Nov 15 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 31 |
short record Based on only 19 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Ft Griffin weather station (17 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 222-day growing season |
Mar 28 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 20 |
Nov 6 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 20 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 249-day growing season |
Mar 12 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 3 |
Nov 16 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 26 |
short record Based on only 11 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Throckmorton 10n, Ft Griffin), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
Loading money…
Loading deadlines…
Loading land…
Common questions and nearby counties
Is Throckmorton County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Throckmorton County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 1 monthly payment for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Throckmorton County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Throckmorton County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 74% of the county. 6 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Throckmorton County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Throckmorton County (since Apr 12, 2021). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Throckmorton County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Apache (129 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; San Angelo (140 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Tulia (175 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.