Terrell County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Terrell County, TX was abnormally dry (D0) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, with 45% at moderate drought (D1); four weeks earlier 100% of the county was in moderate drought (D1) or worse, now 45%. Over 90 days rain is at 123% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 242% (well above normal); the NWS forecast peaks at a 21% rain chance on Saturday (high 66°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans wetter than normal (40% chance of above-normal rain). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Terrell County with up to 4 monthly payments, and San Angelo is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 127 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 242% of normal
- Last 60 days 181% of normal
- Last 90 days 123% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans wetter than normal (40% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy, high 76°, low 63°, 3% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Monday Patchy Fog then Mostly Sunny, high 81°, low 59°, 12% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 71°, low 51°, 0% rain, wind 0–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 73°, low 53°, 0% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 73°, low 51°, 0% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 67°, low 52°, 16% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 66°, low 50°, 21% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Terrell County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Terrell County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Terrell County
Forecast for the center point of Terrell County.
- Today Mostly Cloudy 76° 63° SE 5–15 mph 3% rain
- Mon Patchy Fog then Mostly Sunny 81° 59° SE 5–10 mph 12% rain
- Tue Sunny 71° 51° N 0–15 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 73° 53° SE 0–10 mph 0% rain
- Thu Sunny 73° 51° N 0–5 mph 0% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 67° 52° NE 0–5 mph 16% rain
- Sat Slight Chance Rain Showers 66° 50° NE 0–5 mph 21% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Aug 21, 2015.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 2.07 in; same month last year 0.62 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Terrell County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Dryden Terrell Co Ap weather station (15 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 271-day growing season |
Mar 1 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 21 |
Nov 28 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 11 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 304-day growing season |
Feb 11 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 7 |
Dec 9 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 22 |
Sanderson weather station (20 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 243-day growing season |
Mar 11 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 6 |
Nov 11 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 28 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 267-day growing season |
Feb 28 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 19 |
Nov 23 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 7 |
short record Based on only 19 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Dryden Terrell Co Ap, Sanderson), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Terrell County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Terrell County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Terrell County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Terrell County was in abnormally dry (D0), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 45% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Terrell County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Terrell County (since Aug 21, 2015). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Terrell County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: San Angelo (127 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.