Starr County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Starr County, TX in moderate drought (D1); 100% of the county is in moderate drought (D1) or worse, the same as four weeks earlier. Starr County has had 135% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 64% over 90 days, so the past month has been wetter than the season so far; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans wetter than normal (40% chance of above-normal rain) and the NWS forecast peaks at a 36% rain chance on Saturday (high 82°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Starr County with up to 5 monthly payments.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 135% of normal
- Last 60 days 77% of normal
- Last 90 days 64% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans wetter than normal (40% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Partly Sunny, high 91°, low 71°, 1% rain, wind 2–7 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny, high 93°, low 73°, 1% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Tuesday Mostly Sunny, high 90°, low 66°, 2% rain, wind 3–7 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 86°, low 65°, 0% rain, wind 3–5 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 89°, low 67°, 26% rain, wind 5 mph
- Friday Chance Rain Showers, high 84°, low 64°, 26% rain, wind 2–7 mph
- Saturday Chance Rain Showers, high 82°, low 62°, 36% rain, wind 2–7 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Starr County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Starr County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Starr County
Forecast for the center point of Starr County.
- Today Partly Sunny 91° 71° E 2–7 mph 1% rain
- Mon Partly Sunny 93° 73° SE 5–10 mph 1% rain
- Tue Mostly Sunny 90° 66° WSW 3–7 mph 2% rain
- Wed Sunny 86° 65° NE 3–5 mph 0% rain
- Thu Sunny 89° 67° ESE 5 mph 26% rain
- Fri Chance Rain Showers 84° 64° NE 2–7 mph 26% rain
- Sat Chance Rain Showers 82° 62° NE 2–7 mph 36% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Apr 1, 2022.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 4.48 in; same month last year 1.56 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Starr County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Rio Grande City weather station (12 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 321-day growing season |
Jan 31 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 4 |
Dec 17 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 22 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 357-day growing season |
Jan 12 1 year in 10 it's after Feb 20 |
Dec 29 1 year in 10 it's before Dec 2 |
Falcon Dam weather station (25 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 363-day growing season |
Jan 9 1 year in 10 it's after Feb 21 |
Jan 1 1 year in 10 it's before Dec 8 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 365-day growing season |
Jan 3 1 year in 10 it's after Feb 6 |
Jan 2 1 year in 10 it's before Dec 14 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Rio Grande City, Falcon Dam), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Starr County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Starr County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Starr County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Starr County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 100% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Starr County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Starr County (since Apr 1, 2022). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Starr County?
No USDA-reported sale barn within 200 miles.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.