Socorro County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Socorro County, NM abnormally dry (D0), with a sliver (<1%) at severe drought (D2); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 89 straight weeks. Over 90 days rain is at 346% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 93% (near normal); the NWS forecast peaks at a 83% rain chance on today (high 72°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Socorro County with up to 4 monthly payments, and Belen is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 54 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 93% of normal
- Last 60 days 558% of normal
- Last 90 days 346% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 72°, low 49°, 83% rain, wind 10–30 mph
- Monday Chance Rain Showers then Sunny, high 65°, low 40°, 47% rain, wind 10–20 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 65°, low 39°, 0% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 68°, low 41°, 1% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 65°, low 42°, 0% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 67°, low 42°, 13% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Saturday Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 65°, low 39°, 15% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Socorro County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Socorro County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Socorro County
Forecast for the center point of Socorro County.
- Flood Watch
- Severe Thunderstorm Watch
- Windy on 1 day
- Today Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 72° 49° S 10–30 mph 83% rain
- Mon Chance Rain Showers then Sunny 65° 40° W 10–20 mph 47% rain
- Tue Sunny 65° 39° N 5–15 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 68° 41° S 5–15 mph 1% rain
- Thu Sunny 65° 42° N 5–10 mph 0% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 67° 42° N 5–10 mph 13% rain
- Sat Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers 65° 39° N 5–10 mph 15% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No state restrictions
New Mexico Forestry Division (state forester) restrictions for non-municipal, non-federal, non-Tribal land in Socorro County (source), as of Oct 6, 2026. County rules and federal-land rules are separate; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
- Flood Watch Severe
Flood Watch issued November 1 at 2:09PM MST until November 2 at 11:00AM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM - Severe Thunderstorm Watch Severe
Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued November 1 at 4:11PM MST until November 1 at 9:00PM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 1.64 in; same month last year 1.97 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Socorro County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Socorro weather station (6 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 191-day growing season |
Apr 16 1 year in 10 it's after May 1 |
Oct 25 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 11 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 215-day growing season |
Mar 31 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 17 |
Nov 3 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 21 |
Bosque Del Apache weather station (13 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 167-day growing season |
Apr 28 1 year in 10 it's after May 12 |
Oct 16 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 1 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 190-day growing season |
Apr 15 1 year in 10 it's after May 2 |
Oct 25 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 11 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Socorro, Bosque Del Apache), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Socorro County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Socorro County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Socorro County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Socorro County was in abnormally dry (D0), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on a sliver (<1%) of the county. 89 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Socorro County?
No burn ban is listed for Socorro County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Socorro County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Belen (54 mi), last report Oct 30, 2026; Roswell (145 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026; Santa Teresa (147 mi), last report Oct 30, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 10, 2026: First half of property taxes due to the county treasurer; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.