San Juan County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of San Juan County, NM in moderate drought (D1), with 3% at severe drought (D2); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 92 straight weeks. Rain has run 221% of normal over the last 30 days (well above normal) and 152% over 90 days, so the past month has been wetter than the season so far; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and the best rain chance this week is 92% on today (high 60°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes San Juan County with up to 4 monthly payments, and Belen is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 148 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 221% of normal
- Last 60 days 231% of normal
- Last 90 days 152% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Showers And Thunderstorms, high 60°, low 42°, 92% rain, wind 15–30 mph
- Monday Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 53°, low 37°, 31% rain, wind 10–25 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 56°, low 37°, 0% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 57°, low 38°, 5% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Thursday Mostly Sunny, high 53°, low 37°, 2% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 54°, low 37°, 9% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 52°, low 34°, 7% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows 6 open
| What happened | Started | Tell FSA early by | FSA deadline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flood Warning (National Weather Service) | Nov 1, 2026 | Dec 1, 2026 (30 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
| Flash Flood Warning (National Weather Service) | Nov 1, 2026 | Dec 1, 2026 (30 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
| Flood Warning (National Weather Service) | Nov 1, 2026 | Dec 1, 2026 (30 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
| Flood Warning (National Weather Service) | Nov 1, 2026 | Dec 1, 2026 (30 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
| Flood Warning (National Weather Service) | Nov 1, 2026 | Dec 1, 2026 (30 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
| Flash Flood Warning (National Weather Service) | Nov 1, 2026 | Dec 1, 2026 (30 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
If this cost you livestock, extra feed or hauled water, call your county FSA office now, while it's fresh. The 30-day date is a suggestion from Cownty; FSA's deadline for the notice of loss and application is the March 1 date. Log it in your Drought Ledger · Find your FSA office and phone
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
San Juan County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
Loading prices…
Loading drought…
Loading programs…
Weather for San Juan County
Forecast for the center point of San Juan County.
- Flash Flood Warning
- Flood Advisory
- Flood Warning
- Flood Watch
- Windy on 2 days
- Today Showers And Thunderstorms 60° 42° S 15–30 mph 92% rain
- Mon Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny 53° 37° W 10–25 mph 31% rain
- Tue Sunny 56° 37° NW 0–10 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 57° 38° SW 5–10 mph 5% rain
- Thu Mostly Sunny 53° 37° NW 0–5 mph 2% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 54° 37° W 0–5 mph 9% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny 52° 34° NW 5–10 mph 7% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No official ban list to check here, so Cownty shows the National Weather Service fire-weather alerts for the county instead: none right now. State fire-restrictions page.
Weather warnings right now
- Flash Flood Warning Severe
Flash Flood Warning issued November 1 at 12:34PM MST until November 1 at 8:30PM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM - Flood Watch Severe
Flood Watch issued November 1 at 2:09PM MST until November 2 at 11:00AM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM - Flood Advisory Minor
Flood Advisory issued November 1 at 3:20PM MST until November 3 at 3:00PM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM - Flash Flood Warning Severe
Flash Flood Warning issued November 1 at 3:28PM MST until November 1 at 8:30PM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM - Flood Warning Severe
Flood Warning issued November 1 at 3:34PM MST until November 2 at 11:00AM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM - Flood Warning Severe
Flood Warning issued November 1 at 3:18PM MST until November 3 at 9:45AM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM - Flood Warning Severe
Flood Warning issued November 1 at 3:15PM MST until November 3 at 3:00PM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM - Flood Warning Severe
Flood Warning issued November 1 at 3:17PM MST until November 3 at 3:00AM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM - Flood Warning Severe
Flood Warning issued November 1 at 3:14PM MST until November 3 at 7:23PM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 1.10 in; same month last year 1.13 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest San Juan County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Farmington Ag Sci Cnt weather station (12 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 167-day growing season |
Apr 29 1 year in 10 it's after May 13 |
Oct 15 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 1 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 190-day growing season |
Apr 17 1 year in 10 it's after May 2 |
Oct 26 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 11 |
Farmington Rgnl Ap weather station (17 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 160-day growing season |
May 2 1 year in 10 it's after May 18 |
Oct 13 1 year in 10 it's before Sep 29 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 184-day growing season |
Apr 20 1 year in 10 it's after May 4 |
Oct 22 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 6 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Farmington Ag Sci Cnt, Farmington Rgnl Ap), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
Loading money…
Loading deadlines…
Loading land…
Common questions and nearby counties
Is San Juan County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. San Juan County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in San Juan County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of San Juan County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 3% of the county. 92 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in San Juan County?
No official statewide list to check: this county is not on the official New Mexico state map; check the county's own fire-restriction notices.
What sale barns are near San Juan County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Belen (148 mi), last report Oct 30, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 10, 2026: First half of property taxes due to the county treasurer; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.