San Juan County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of San Juan County, NM in moderate drought (D1), with 3% at severe drought (D2); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 92 straight weeks. Rain has run 221% of normal over the last 30 days (well above normal) and 152% over 90 days, so the past month has been wetter than the season so far; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 6–10 leans toward near-normal rain and the best rain chance this week is 92% on today (high 60°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes San Juan County with up to 4 monthly payments, and Belen is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 148 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 221% of normal
- Last 60 days 231% of normal
- Last 90 days 152% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 6–10) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 8–14) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Oct 31, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Showers And Thunderstorms, high 60°, low 42°, 92% rain, wind 15–30 mph
- Monday Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 53°, low 37°, 31% rain, wind 10–25 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 56°, low 37°, 0% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 57°, low 38°, 5% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Thursday Mostly Sunny, high 53°, low 37°, 2% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 54°, low 37°, 9% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 52°, low 34°, 7% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows 1 open
| What happened | Started | Tell FSA early by | FSA deadline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flood Warning (National Weather Service) | Nov 1, 2026 | Dec 1, 2026 (30 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
If this cost you livestock, extra feed or hauled water, call your county FSA office now, while it's fresh. The 30-day date is a suggestion from Cownty; FSA's deadline for the notice of loss and application is the March 1 date. Log it in your Drought Ledger · Find your FSA office and phone
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
San Juan County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Drought pasture pay (LFP)
On FSA's 2026 list for 2 pasture types. Up to 4 monthly payments.
Bring head counts, grazing leases and pasture acres to your county FSA office.
How to read this
Each bar is a pasture type; the number is how many monthly payments it qualifies for (1 to 5).
Pasture table
| Pasture type | Grazing period | Qualifying date | Payments |
|---|---|---|---|
| Long Season Small Grains | 2025-11-01 to 2026-06-01 | 2025-11-01 | 4 |
| Native Pasture | 2026-01-01 to 2026-12-31 | 2026-01-01 | 4 |
FSA "Counties & Pasture Types Eligible for 2026 LFP", file dated Oct 29, 2026 (download). FSA decides eligibility. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
USDA disaster declarations
- Apr 24, 2026 · Drought
Neighboring county declared (counts for San Juan) · crop year 2026 - Apr 10, 2026 · Drought
San Juan declared · crop year 2026 - Apr 10, 2026 · Drought
Neighboring county declared (counts for San Juan) · crop year 2026 - Apr 6, 2026 · Drought
Neighboring county declared (counts for San Juan) · crop year 2026 - Jun 2, 2025 · Drought
Neighboring county declared (counts for San Juan) · crop year 2025 - May 6, 2025 · Drought
Neighboring county declared (counts for San Juan) · crop year 2025 - Apr 14, 2025 · Drought
Neighboring county declared (counts for San Juan) · crop year 2025 - Mar 31, 2025 · Drought
Neighboring county declared (counts for San Juan) · crop year 2025 - Mar 31, 2025 · Drought
San Juan declared · crop year 2025 - Mar 31, 2025 · Drought
Neighboring county declared (counts for San Juan) · crop year 2025 - Mar 25, 2025 · Drought
Neighboring county declared (counts for San Juan) · crop year 2025 - Mar 25, 2025 · Drought
Neighboring county declared (counts for San Juan) · crop year 2025
"Declared" means USDA named this county. "Neighboring" means it touches a declared county. Either way, FSA emergency loans can open for about 8 months. FSA designation files (dated Jan 28, 2026, Oct 19, 2026). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
CRP emergency haying and grazing
Open San Juan County is on FSA's emergency haying and grazing list, starting Sep 1, 2026. Trigger: D2 (severe) drought on the Drought Monitor. Get an updated conservation plan from FSA before cutting or turning out.
Before haying and grazing, contact your FSA county office to see if your county remains eligible and/or obtain a modified conservation plan. This list is cumulative for the year and current local conditions may have changed.
Source: FSA eligible-county table posted Oct 29, 2026 · map · FSA program page. FSA posts a new file every Thursday. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Animal health notices: New Mexico
Statewide notices from the New Mexico Department of Agriculture and New Mexico Livestock Board. The agency does not publish county-by-county zones, so these are not specific to San Juan County.
- Oct 27, 2026 news release
NM confirms New World screwworm cases in Doña Ana County - Oct 23, 2026 news release
NM confirms New World screwworm case in Hidalgo County - Oct 21, 2026 news release
NM confirms New World screwworm case in Otero County - Oct 15, 2026 news release
NM confirms two additional New World screwworm cases
Suspect a case? Call the New Mexico Livestock Board at 505-841-6161 (official page).
Source: New Mexico Department of Agriculture and New Mexico Livestock Board (nmdeptag.nmsu.edu); each item is dated by the agency. Latest item as of Oct 27, 2026. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
New FSA programs: watch list
| Date | Scope | Release | Flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Oklahoma | USDA Designates Three Oklahoma Counties as Natural Disaster Areas | |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Minnesota | USDA Designates Numerous Counties in Minnesota as Natural Disaster Areas Due to Drought | |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Maine | USDA Offers Disaster Assistance to Agricultural Producers in Maine Impacted by Drought | |
| Oct 29, 2026 | North Carolina | USDA Designates 13 North Carolina Counties as a Natural Disaster Area | |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Oklahoma | USDA Designates Eight Oklahoma Counties as Natural Disaster Areas |
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is San Juan County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. San Juan County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in San Juan County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of San Juan County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 3% of the county. 92 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in San Juan County?
No official statewide list to check: this county is not on the official New Mexico state map; check the county's own fire-restriction notices.
What sale barns are near San Juan County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Belen (148 mi), last report Oct 30, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 10, 2026: First half of property taxes due to the county treasurer; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.