Panola County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Panola County, TX was in extreme drought (D3) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map; week 9 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Panola County has had 34% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 30% over 90 days; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and Tuesday carries the week's highest rain chance at 95% (high 77°). Panola County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Hope, 112 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 34% of normal
- Last 60 days 40% of normal
- Last 90 days 30% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Partly Sunny, high 82°, low 63°, 8% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny, high 83°, low 66°, 31% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Tuesday Showers And Thunderstorms, high 77°, low 49°, 95% rain, wind 0–15 mph
- Wednesday Mostly Sunny, high 74°, low 44°, 1% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Thursday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 76°, low 45°, 19% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 76°, low 43°, 1% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 75°, low 45°, 18% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Panola County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Panola County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| Hope 112 mi | Oct 29 | $372 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
Guide: How to read a USDA sale barn report
All weights at the 1 nearest barns
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Panola County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Panola County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Panola County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Panola County was in extreme drought (D3), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 56% of the county. 9 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Panola County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Panola County (since Aug 4, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Panola County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Hope (112 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.