Newton County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of Newton County, TX was in severe drought (D2), with 36% at extreme drought (D3); week 5 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Over 90 days rain is at 46% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 17% (well below normal); the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and Tuesday carries the week's highest rain chance at 96% (high 82°). Newton County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and Giddings is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 194 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 17% of normal
- Last 60 days 39% of normal
- Last 90 days 46% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 84°, low 65°, 6% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Monday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 83°, low 68°, 38% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Tuesday Showers And Thunderstorms, high 82°, low 55°, 96% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Wednesday Mostly Sunny, high 78°, low 49°, 3% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 79°, low 49°, 15% rain, wind 0 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 78°, low 46°, 2% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 75°, low 47°, 15% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows 1 open
| What happened | Started | Tell FSA early by | FSA deadline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Extreme drought (D3) reached (U.S. Drought Monitor) | Oct 20, 2026 | Nov 19, 2026 (18 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
If this cost you livestock, extra feed or hauled water, call your county FSA office now, while it's fresh. The 30-day date is a suggestion from Cownty; FSA's deadline for the notice of loss and application is the March 1 date. Log it in your Drought Ledger · Find your FSA office and phone
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Newton County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Newton County
Forecast for the center point of Newton County.
- Today Mostly Sunny 84° 65° E 0–5 mph 6% rain
- Mon Slight Chance Rain Showers 83° 68° SE 5–10 mph 38% rain
- Tue Showers And Thunderstorms 82° 55° S 0–10 mph 96% rain
- Wed Mostly Sunny 78° 49° NW 0–5 mph 3% rain
- Thu Sunny 79° 49° 0 mph 15% rain
- Fri Sunny 78° 46° N 0–5 mph 2% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny 75° 47° NE 0–5 mph 15% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Sep 30, 2026.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 4.76 in; same month last year 1.46 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Newton County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Town Bluff Dam weather station (26 mi away)
farther away No station with freeze dates is close to the county center, so local dates can differ.
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 258-day growing season |
Mar 9 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 2 |
Nov 22 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 1 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 290-day growing season |
Feb 19 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 16 |
Dec 7 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 15 |
De Ridder weather station (27 mi away)
farther away No station with freeze dates is close to the county center, so local dates can differ.
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 269-day growing season |
Mar 1 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 25 |
Nov 25 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 8 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 302-day growing season |
Feb 12 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 10 |
Dec 7 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 18 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Town Bluff Dam, De Ridder), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Newton County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Newton County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Newton County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Newton County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 36% of the county. 5 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Newton County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Newton County (since Sep 30, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Newton County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (194 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026; Hope (199 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.