Motley County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of Motley County, TX was in severe drought (D2), with 28% at extreme drought (D3), and D2-or-worse drought has held there 43 weeks running. Rain has run 331% of normal over the last 30 days (well above normal) and 109% over 90 days, so the past month has been wetter than the season so far; the NWS forecast peaks at a 31% rain chance on today (high 70°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Motley County with up to 5 monthly payments, and Tulia is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 65 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 331% of normal
- Last 60 days 168% of normal
- Last 90 days 109% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy, high 70°, low 64°, 31% rain, wind 15 mph
- Monday Mostly Sunny, high 81°, low 53°, 9% rain, wind 10–25 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 68°, low 48°, 0% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 72°, low 50°, 2% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 67°, low 44°, 1% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 65°, low 46°, 8% rain, wind 5 mph
- Saturday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 67°, low 47°, 19% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Motley County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Motley County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Motley County
Forecast for the center point of Motley County.
- Windy on 1 day
- Today Mostly Cloudy 70° 64° SSE 15 mph 31% rain
- Mon Mostly Sunny 81° 53° SW 10–25 mph 9% rain
- Tue Sunny 68° 48° NNW 5–15 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 72° 50° SW 5–10 mph 2% rain
- Thu Sunny 67° 44° NNW 5–15 mph 1% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 65° 46° NNE 5 mph 8% rain
- Sat Slight Chance Rain Showers 67° 47° NW 5–10 mph 19% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No burn ban
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 2.71 in; same month last year 0.69 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Motley County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Matador weather station (2 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 213-day growing season |
Apr 5 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 21 |
Nov 4 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 22 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 234-day growing season |
Mar 25 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 9 |
Nov 13 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 30 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Matador), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Motley County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Motley County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Motley County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Motley County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 28% of the county. 43 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Motley County?
No burn ban is listed for Motley County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Motley County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Tulia (65 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Wildorado (109 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Clovis (141 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.