Morris County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Morris County, TX was in exceptional drought (D4); week 8 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Over 90 days rain is at 23% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 17% (well below normal); the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and the NWS forecast peaks at a 78% rain chance on Tuesday (high 75°). Morris County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and Hope is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 76 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 17% of normal
- Last 60 days 25% of normal
- Last 90 days 23% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Partly Sunny, high 81°, low 63°, 4% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny, high 83°, low 66°, 71% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Tuesday Showers And Thunderstorms, high 75°, low 49°, 78% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 72°, low 45°, 1% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Thursday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 74°, low 45°, 19% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 74°, low 44°, 15% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 74°, low 46°, 16% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows 1 open
| What happened | Started | Tell FSA early by | FSA deadline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exceptional drought (D4) reached (U.S. Drought Monitor) | Oct 27, 2026 | Nov 26, 2026 (25 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
If this cost you livestock, extra feed or hauled water, call your county FSA office now, while it's fresh. The 30-day date is a suggestion from Cownty; FSA's deadline for the notice of loss and application is the March 1 date. Log it in your Drought Ledger · Find your FSA office and phone
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Morris County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Morris County
Forecast for the center point of Morris County.
- Today Partly Sunny 81° 63° NE 0–5 mph 4% rain
- Mon Partly Sunny 83° 66° SE 5–15 mph 71% rain
- Tue Showers And Thunderstorms 75° 49° SW 0–10 mph 78% rain
- Wed Sunny 72° 45° NW 0–10 mph 1% rain
- Thu Slight Chance Rain Showers 74° 45° W 0–5 mph 19% rain
- Fri Sunny 74° 44° NW 0–5 mph 15% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny 74° 46° NW 0–5 mph 16% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Aug 7, 2026.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.82 in; same month last year 1.38 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (92 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Morris County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Daingerfield 9 S weather station (14 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 259-day growing season |
Mar 8 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 27 |
Nov 22 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 4 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 287-day growing season |
Feb 24 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 14 |
Dec 4 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 13 |
Mt Pleasant weather station (16 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 230-day growing season |
Mar 24 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 13 |
Nov 7 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 25 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 255-day growing season |
Mar 8 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 31 |
Nov 19 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 2 |
short record Based on only 17 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Daingerfield 9 S, Mt Pleasant), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Morris County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Morris County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Morris County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Morris County was in exceptional drought (D4), and the worst part was exceptional drought (D4) on 79% of the county. 8 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Morris County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Morris County (since Aug 7, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Morris County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Hope (76 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; McAlester (139 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Ada (159 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.