Montgomery County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of Montgomery County, TX was in moderate drought (D1); 58% of the county is in moderate drought (D1) or worse, down from 78% four weeks earlier. Montgomery County has had 21% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 78% over 90 days, so the past month has been drier than the season so far; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and the best rain chance this week is 90% on Tuesday (high 79°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Montgomery County with up to 4 monthly payments, and Giddings is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 85 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 21% of normal
- Last 60 days 94% of normal
- Last 90 days 78% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 85°, low 66°, 2% rain, wind 0 mph
- Monday Patchy Fog then Mostly Cloudy, high 84°, low 69°, 19% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Tuesday Showers And Thunderstorms, high 79°, low 55°, 90% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 76°, low 53°, 1% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Mostly Sunny, high 78°, low 54°, 7% rain, wind 0 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 77°, low 51°, 4% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 74°, low 51°, 22% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Montgomery County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Montgomery County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Montgomery County
Forecast for the center point of Montgomery County.
- Today Mostly Sunny 85° 66° 0 mph 2% rain
- Mon Patchy Fog then Mostly Cloudy 84° 69° SE 0–10 mph 19% rain
- Tue Showers And Thunderstorms 79° 55° W 0–10 mph 90% rain
- Wed Sunny 76° 53° N 0–5 mph 1% rain
- Thu Mostly Sunny 78° 54° 0 mph 7% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 77° 51° N 0–5 mph 4% rain
- Sat Slight Chance Rain Showers 74° 51° NE 0–5 mph 22% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No burn ban
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 4.26 in; same month last year 1.97 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Montgomery County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Conroe weather station (2 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 285-day growing season |
Feb 24 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 17 |
Dec 2 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 11 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 321-day growing season |
Feb 2 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 6 |
Dec 23 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 24 |
Conroe Montgomery Co Ap weather station (7 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 253-day growing season |
Mar 11 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 3 |
Nov 19 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 1 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 291-day growing season |
Feb 21 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 18 |
Dec 4 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 11 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Conroe, Conroe Montgomery Co Ap), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Montgomery County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Montgomery County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Montgomery County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Montgomery County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 58% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Montgomery County?
No burn ban is listed for Montgomery County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Montgomery County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (85 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.