Mitchell County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Mitchell County, TX was in severe drought (D2) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map; some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 6 straight weeks. Over 90 days rain is at 123% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 240% (well above normal); the NWS forecast peaks at a 21% rain chance on Saturday (high 72°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 6–10 leans wetter than normal (40% chance of above-normal rain). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Mitchell County with up to 3 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is San Angelo, 66 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 240% of normal
- Last 60 days 184% of normal
- Last 90 days 123% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 6–10) Leans wetter than normal (40% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 8–14) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Oct 31, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy, high 78°, low 65°, 6% rain, wind 10–15 mph
- Monday Mostly Sunny, high 84°, low 56°, 5% rain, wind 5–20 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 73°, low 49°, 0% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 75°, low 51°, 2% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 76°, low 48°, 1% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 73°, low 50°, 15% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 72°, low 50°, 21% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows 1 open
| What happened | Started | Tell FSA early by | FSA deadline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Extreme drought (D3) reached (U.S. Drought Monitor) | Oct 6, 2026 | Nov 5, 2026 (4 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
If this cost you livestock, extra feed or hauled water, call your county FSA office now, while it's fresh. The 30-day date is a suggestion from Cownty; FSA's deadline for the notice of loss and application is the March 1 date. Log it in your Drought Ledger · Find your FSA office and phone
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Mitchell County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Drought, past 12 months
100% of the county in severe drought or worse, 6 weeks running.
How to read this
Each band is how much of the county was in that drought level that week. Darker = worse. D2 (severe) and darker can trigger USDA drought pay.
Right now: 100% of the county is in severe drought or worse; some of it has been for 6 weeks running. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor, map of Oct 27, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Mitchell County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Mitchell County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 3 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Mitchell County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Mitchell County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 100% of the county. 6 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Mitchell County?
No burn ban is listed for Mitchell County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Mitchell County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: San Angelo (66 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Tulia (162 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Clovis (196 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.