Lynn County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Lynn County, TX was in severe drought (D2) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map; week 9 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Lynn County has had 204% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 105% over 90 days, so the past month has been wetter than the season so far; today carries the week's highest rain chance at 23% (high 71°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain). Lynn County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 3 monthly payments, and Tulia is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 93 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 204% of normal
- Last 60 days 145% of normal
- Last 90 days 105% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy, high 71°, low 62°, 23% rain, wind 15 mph
- Monday Mostly Sunny, high 76°, low 51°, 4% rain, wind 15–25 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 66°, low 46°, 0% rain, wind 0–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 70°, low 49°, 0% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 67°, low 43°, 0% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 64°, low 45°, 8% rain, wind 5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 64°, low 45°, 12% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Lynn County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Lynn County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Lynn County
Forecast for the center point of Lynn County.
- Windy on 1 day
- Today Mostly Cloudy 71° 62° S 15 mph 23% rain
- Mon Mostly Sunny 76° 51° SW 15–25 mph 4% rain
- Tue Sunny 66° 46° NNW 0–15 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 70° 49° SW 5–10 mph 0% rain
- Thu Sunny 67° 43° NNW 5–10 mph 0% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 64° 45° E 5 mph 8% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny 64° 45° NNW 5–10 mph 12% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No burn ban
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 2.85 in; same month last year 1.11 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Lynn County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Tahoka weather station (1 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 220-day growing season |
Apr 2 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 17 |
Nov 8 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 24 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 245-day growing season |
Mar 17 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 7 |
Nov 17 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 1 |
Post weather station (26 mi away)
farther away No station with freeze dates is close to the county center, so local dates can differ.
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 223-day growing season |
Apr 1 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 19 |
Nov 9 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 25 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 246-day growing season |
Mar 17 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 5 |
Nov 19 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 2 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Tahoka, Post), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Lynn County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Lynn County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 3 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Lynn County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Lynn County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 80% of the county. 9 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Lynn County?
No burn ban is listed for Lynn County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Lynn County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Tulia (93 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Clovis (116 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; Wildorado (140 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 1, 2026: Grapevine 2027: last day to buy crop insurance; Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.