Luna County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Luna County, NM in moderate drought (D1); 54% of the county is in moderate drought (D1) or worse, down from 81% four weeks earlier. Over 90 days rain is at 176% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 313% (well above normal); the best rain chance this week is 75% on today (high 76°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. Luna County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 3 monthly payments, and Santa Teresa is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 67 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 313% of normal
- Last 60 days 320% of normal
- Last 90 days 176% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Partly Sunny then Patchy Blowing Dust, high 76°, low 51°, 75% rain, wind 8–29 mph
- Monday Sunny, high 67°, low 39°, 2% rain, wind 2–26 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 68°, low 41°, 0% rain, wind 3–7 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 72°, low 42°, 0% rain, wind 3–7 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 72°, low 42°, 0% rain, wind 3–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 71°, low 43°, 11% rain, wind 5–6 mph
- Saturday Sunny, high 70°, low 42°, 13% rain, wind 6–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Luna County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Luna County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Luna County
Forecast for the center point of Luna County.
- Flood Watch
- Wind Advisory
- Windy on 2 days
- Today Partly Sunny then Patchy Blowing Dust 76° 51° SSW 8–29 mph 75% rain
- Mon Sunny 67° 39° W 2–26 mph 2% rain
- Tue Sunny 68° 41° NE 3–7 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 72° 42° S 3–7 mph 0% rain
- Thu Sunny 72° 42° WNW 3–5 mph 0% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 71° 43° NW 5–6 mph 11% rain
- Sat Sunny 70° 42° NNW 6–10 mph 13% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No official ban list to check here, so Cownty shows the National Weather Service fire-weather alerts for the county instead: none right now. State fire-restrictions page.
Weather warnings right now
- Flood Watch Severe
Flood Watch issued November 1 at 11:22AM MST until November 1 at 10:00PM MST by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM - Wind Advisory Moderate
Wind Advisory issued November 1 at 9:21AM MST until November 1 at 8:00PM MST by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 1.35 in; same month last year 2.59 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Luna County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Columbus weather station (25 mi away)
farther away No station with freeze dates is close to the county center, so local dates can differ.
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 237-day growing season |
Mar 18 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 6 |
Nov 11 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 29 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 266-day growing season |
Feb 28 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 20 |
Nov 21 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 5 |
Faywood weather station (32 mi away)
farther away No station with freeze dates is close to the county center, so local dates can differ.
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 191-day growing season |
Apr 21 1 year in 10 it's after May 8 |
Oct 31 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 17 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 218-day growing season |
Apr 4 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 26 |
Nov 9 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 24 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Columbus, Faywood), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Luna County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Luna County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 3 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Luna County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Luna County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 54% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Luna County?
No official statewide list to check: this county is not on the official New Mexico state map; check the county's own fire-restriction notices.
What sale barns are near Luna County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Santa Teresa (67 mi), last report Oct 30, 2026; Belen (186 mi), last report Oct 30, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 10, 2026: First half of property taxes due to the county treasurer; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.