Kerr County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Kerr County, TX abnormally dry (D0); 0% of the county is in moderate drought (D1) or worse, down from 27% four weeks earlier. Rain has run 72% of normal over the last 30 days (below normal) and 74% over 90 days; the NWS forecast peaks at a 74% rain chance on Monday (high 79°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain). Kerr County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 2 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is San Angelo, 116 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 72% of normal
- Last 60 days 86% of normal
- Last 90 days 74% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Partly Sunny, high 79°, low 64°, 3% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Monday Patchy Fog then Partly Sunny, high 79°, low 62°, 74% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Tuesday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Sunny, high 72°, low 47°, 18% rain, wind 0–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 74°, low 51°, 0% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 76°, low 49°, 2% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 71°, low 48°, 12% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Saturday Chance Rain Showers, high 69°, low 48°, 25% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Kerr County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Kerr County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Kerr County
Forecast for the center point of Kerr County.
- Today Partly Sunny 79° 64° SSE 5–10 mph 3% rain
- Mon Patchy Fog then Partly Sunny 79° 62° S 5–15 mph 74% rain
- Tue Slight Chance Rain Showers then Sunny 72° 47° NNW 0–15 mph 18% rain
- Wed Sunny 74° 51° E 0–5 mph 0% rain
- Thu Sunny 76° 49° WSW 0–10 mph 2% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 71° 48° NNE 0–10 mph 12% rain
- Sat Chance Rain Showers 69° 48° NE 0–5 mph 25% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No burn ban
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.29 in; same month last year 1.86 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Kerr County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Kerrville 3 Nne weather station (15 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 226-day growing season |
Mar 27 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 16 |
Nov 7 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 23 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 252-day growing season |
Mar 11 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 5 |
Nov 18 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 2 |
Medina 1ne weather station (18 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 244-day growing season |
Mar 16 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 6 |
Nov 15 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 31 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 272-day growing season |
Mar 2 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 21 |
Nov 29 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 7 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Kerrville 3 Nne, Medina 1ne), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Kerr County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Kerr County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 2 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Kerr County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Kerr County was in abnormally dry (D0), and the worst part was abnormally dry (D0) on 57% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Kerr County?
No burn ban is listed for Kerr County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Kerr County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: San Angelo (116 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Giddings (145 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.