Jack County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Jack County, TX was abnormally dry (D0) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, with 3% at moderate drought (D1); four weeks earlier 100% of the county was in moderate drought (D1) or worse, now 3%. Rain has run 125% of normal over the last 30 days (above normal) and 96% over 90 days, so the past month has been wetter than the season so far; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 6–10 leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain) and the NWS forecast peaks at a 69% rain chance on Monday (high 82°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Jack County with up to 3 monthly payments, and Apache is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 115 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 125% of normal
- Last 60 days 129% of normal
- Last 90 days 96% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 6–10) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 8–14) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Oct 31, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Partly Sunny, high 80°, low 63°, 5% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Monday Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 82°, low 57°, 69% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 73°, low 47°, 2% rain, wind 0–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 73°, low 47°, 12% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 75°, low 45°, 5% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 71°, low 46°, 7% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 72°, low 47°, 22% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Jack County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Jack County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Jack County
Forecast for the center point of Jack County.
- Today Partly Sunny 80° 63° SE 5–10 mph 5% rain
- Mon Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 82° 57° S 5–15 mph 69% rain
- Tue Sunny 73° 47° NW 0–15 mph 2% rain
- Wed Sunny 73° 47° NW 0–5 mph 12% rain
- Thu Sunny 75° 45° WSW 0–5 mph 5% rain
- Fri Sunny 71° 46° N 0–5 mph 7% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers 72° 47° W 0–5 mph 22% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Aug 6, 2026.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.19 in; same month last year 1.90 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (92 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Jack County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Jacksboro weather station (2 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 225-day growing season |
Mar 28 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 18 |
Nov 7 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 23 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 247-day growing season |
Mar 14 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 3 |
Nov 16 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 1 |
Graham weather station (24 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 220-day growing season |
Apr 1 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 20 |
Nov 5 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 23 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 244-day growing season |
Mar 15 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 8 |
Nov 14 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 31 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Jacksboro, Graham), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Jack County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Jack County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 3 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Jack County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Jack County was in abnormally dry (D0), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 3% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Jack County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Jack County (since Aug 6, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Jack County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Apache (115 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Ada (137 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; El Reno (160 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.