Hopkins County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Hopkins County, TX was in extreme drought (D3) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map; week 10 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Rain has run 32% of normal over the last 30 days (well below normal) and 39% over 90 days; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and Monday carries the week's highest rain chance at 91% (high 84°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Hopkins County with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Hope, 120 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 32% of normal
- Last 60 days 38% of normal
- Last 90 days 39% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 80°, low 63°, 3% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny, high 84°, low 66°, 91% rain, wind 5–20 mph
- Tuesday Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Mostly Sunny, high 74°, low 49°, 53% rain, wind 0–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 73°, low 46°, 1% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 76°, low 46°, 4% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 73°, low 44°, 2% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 72°, low 45°, 18% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Hopkins County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Hopkins County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Hopkins County
Forecast for the center point of Hopkins County.
- Today Mostly Sunny 80° 63° SE 0–5 mph 3% rain
- Mon Partly Sunny 84° 66° SSE 5–20 mph 91% rain
- Tue Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Mostly Sunny 74° 49° WSW 0–15 mph 53% rain
- Wed Sunny 73° 46° WNW 0–5 mph 1% rain
- Thu Sunny 76° 46° SW 0–5 mph 4% rain
- Fri Sunny 73° 44° N 0–5 mph 2% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny 72° 45° NNE 0–5 mph 18% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Aug 26, 2026.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.39 in; same month last year 1.87 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Hopkins County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Sulphur Springs weather station (4 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 245-day growing season |
Mar 15 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 4 |
Nov 14 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 29 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 272-day growing season |
Mar 2 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 19 |
Nov 28 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 7 |
Mt Vernon weather station (20 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 245-day growing season |
Mar 15 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 6 |
Nov 16 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 31 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 273-day growing season |
Mar 2 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 25 |
Dec 1 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 8 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Sulphur Springs, Mt Vernon), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Hopkins County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Hopkins County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Hopkins County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Hopkins County was in extreme drought (D3), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 57% of the county. 10 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Hopkins County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Hopkins County (since Aug 26, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Hopkins County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Hope (120 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; McAlester (123 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Ada (129 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.