Hidalgo County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Hidalgo County, NM in severe drought (D2); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 148 straight weeks. Over 90 days rain is at 109% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 127% (above normal); the best rain chance this week is 69% on today (high 71°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Hidalgo County with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Santa Teresa, 122 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 127% of normal
- Last 60 days 155% of normal
- Last 90 days 109% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy then Patchy Blowing Dust, high 71°, low 52°, 69% rain, wind 17–26 mph
- Monday Mostly Sunny, high 65°, low 43°, 5% rain, wind 3–20 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 65°, low 44°, 0% rain, wind 3–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 70°, low 44°, 0% rain, wind 6–10 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 69°, low 45°, 1% rain, wind 5–7 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 68°, low 46°, 12% rain, wind 5–7 mph
- Saturday Sunny, high 67°, low 44°, 12% rain, wind 5–9 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Hidalgo County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Hidalgo County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Hidalgo County
Forecast for the center point of Hidalgo County.
- Flood Watch
- Wind Advisory
- Windy on 1 day
- Today Mostly Cloudy then Patchy Blowing Dust 71° 52° SW 17–26 mph 69% rain
- Mon Mostly Sunny 65° 43° W 3–20 mph 5% rain
- Tue Sunny 65° 44° ENE 3–10 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 70° 44° SSW 6–10 mph 0% rain
- Thu Sunny 69° 45° WSW 5–7 mph 1% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 68° 46° E 5–7 mph 12% rain
- Sat Sunny 67° 44° NE 5–9 mph 12% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No state restrictions
New Mexico Forestry Division (state forester) restrictions for non-municipal, non-federal, non-Tribal land in Hidalgo County (source), as of Oct 6, 2026. County rules and federal-land rules are separate; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
- Flood Watch Severe
Flood Watch issued November 1 at 11:22AM MST until November 1 at 10:00PM MST by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM - Wind Advisory Moderate
Wind Advisory issued November 1 at 9:21AM MST until November 1 at 8:00PM MST by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 1.39 in; same month last year 2.61 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Hidalgo County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Animas 3ese weather station (3 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 218-day growing season |
Apr 2 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 21 |
Nov 7 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 23 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 249-day growing season |
Mar 11 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 8 |
Nov 18 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 1 |
Hachita 1w weather station (24 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 185-day growing season |
Apr 23 1 year in 10 it's after May 9 |
Oct 27 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 13 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 209-day growing season |
Apr 7 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 26 |
Nov 4 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 20 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Animas 3ese, Hachita 1w), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Hidalgo County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Hidalgo County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Hidalgo County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Hidalgo County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 62% of the county. 148 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Hidalgo County?
No burn ban is listed for Hidalgo County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Hidalgo County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Santa Teresa (122 mi), last report Oct 30, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 10, 2026: First half of property taxes due to the county treasurer; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.