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Hardin County, TX

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Hardin County rain, outlook and forecast

Most of Hardin County, TX was abnormally dry (D0) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, with 33% at moderate drought (D1); four weeks earlier 0% of the county was in moderate drought (D1) or worse, now 33%. Over 90 days rain is at 111% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 37% (well below normal); the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and Tuesday carries the week's highest rain chance at 94% (high 82°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Hardin County with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Giddings, 152 miles away.

Rain vs normal

  • Last 30 days 37% of normal
  • Last 60 days 52% of normal
  • Last 90 days 111% of normal

NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.

Rain outlook

  • 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
  • 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain

NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.

Next 7 days

  1. Today Partly Sunny, high 83°, low 65°, 2% rain, wind 0 mph
  2. Monday Patchy Fog then Mostly Cloudy, high 83°, low 69°, 30% rain, wind 0–5 mph
  3. Tuesday Showers And Thunderstorms, high 82°, low 55°, 94% rain, wind 0–5 mph
  4. Wednesday Sunny, high 77°, low 51°, 2% rain, wind 0 mph
  5. Thursday Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 79°, low 52°, 18% rain, wind 0 mph
  6. Friday Sunny, high 78°, low 50°, 3% rain, wind 0 mph
  7. Saturday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 75°, low 50°, 17% rain, wind 0 mph

National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.

Open loss windows

No open loss windows in Hardin County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.

Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.

Drought-sale tax flag IRS list

Hardin County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).

Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.

Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer

Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)

Next 7 days · National Weather Service

Weather for Hardin County

Forecast for the center point of Hardin County.

    1. Today Partly Sunny 83° 65° 0 mph 2% rain
    2. Mon Patchy Fog then Mostly Cloudy 83° 69° SE 0–5 mph 30% rain
    3. Tue Showers And Thunderstorms 82° 55° S 0–5 mph 94% rain
    4. Wed Sunny 77° 51° 0 mph 2% rain
    5. Thu Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers 79° 52° 0 mph 18% rain
    6. Fri Sunny 78° 50° 0 mph 3% rain
    7. Sat Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers 75° 50° 0 mph 17% rain

    Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.

    Burn ban

    No burn ban

    Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.

    Weather warnings right now

    None right now

    National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.

    Rainfall vs normal

    Sep 2026
    4.38 in 79% of normal
    Last 12 months
    47.79 in 79%
    How to read this

    Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.

    County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 5.56 in; same month last year 2.66 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.

    Wildfires

    No current fire perimeter in the county

    No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).

    See the fire map

    Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.

    Frost dates

    Frost and freeze dates

    30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Hardin County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.

    Beaumont Rsch Ctr weather station (19 mi away)

    Typical last spring frostTypical first fall frost
    Frost (32°F)
    291-day growing season
    Feb 18
    1 year in 10 it's after Mar 15
    Dec 2
    1 year in 10 it's before Nov 9
    Hard freeze (28°F)
    333-day growing season
    Jan 29
    1 year in 10 it's after Mar 1
    Dec 29
    1 year in 10 it's before Nov 28

    Lumberton weather station (14 mi away)

    Typical last spring frostTypical first fall frost
    Frost (32°F)
    281-day growing season
    Feb 25
    1 year in 10 it's after Mar 18
    Nov 30
    1 year in 10 it's before Nov 8
    Hard freeze (28°F)
    313-day growing season
    Feb 5
    1 year in 10 it's after Mar 6
    Dec 16
    1 year in 10 it's before Nov 23

    short record Based on only 19 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.

    Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Beaumont Rsch Ctr, Lumberton), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.

    Nearest USDA-reported sale barns

    1. Giddings Livestock Commission Giddings, TX 152 mi · sells Mondays · latest USDA report Oct 26, 2026
    2. Hope Livestock Auction Hope, AR 235 mi · sells Thursdays · latest USDA report Oct 29, 2026
    3. McAlester Union Stockyards McAlester, OK 328 mi · sells Tuesdays · latest USDA report Oct 27, 2026

    Miles are straight-line from the county center. Sale days come from the barns' recent USDA AMS reports; call the barn to confirm. All barns

    Common questions and nearby counties

    Is Hardin County eligible for LFP in 2026?

    Yes. Hardin County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.

    Source: FSA LFP county file of Oct 29, 2026

    What is the drought level in Hardin County this week?

    On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Hardin County was in abnormally dry (D0), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 33% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.

    Source: U.S. Drought Monitor, map of Oct 27, 2026

    Is there a burn ban in Hardin County?

    No burn ban is listed for Hardin County. Check with the county before burning.

    Source: official state burn-ban map, as of Nov 1, 2026

    What sale barns are near Hardin County?

    The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (152 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.

    Source: USDA AMS Market News reports

    What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?

    Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.

    Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)

    Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.