Hardin County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Hardin County, TX was abnormally dry (D0) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, with 33% at moderate drought (D1); four weeks earlier 0% of the county was in moderate drought (D1) or worse, now 33%. Over 90 days rain is at 111% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 37% (well below normal); the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 6–10 leans toward near-normal rain and Tuesday carries the week's highest rain chance at 94% (high 82°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Hardin County with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Giddings, 152 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 37% of normal
- Last 60 days 52% of normal
- Last 90 days 111% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 6–10) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 8–14) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Oct 31, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 83°, low 65°, 3% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Monday Patchy Fog then Mostly Cloudy, high 83°, low 69°, 30% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Tuesday Showers And Thunderstorms, high 82°, low 55°, 94% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 77°, low 51°, 2% rain, wind 0 mph
- Thursday Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 79°, low 52°, 19% rain, wind 0 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 77°, low 50°, 3% rain, wind 0 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 75°, low 50°, 17% rain, wind 0 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Hardin County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Hardin County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| Giddings 152 mi | Oct 26 | $359 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
Guide: How to read a USDA sale barn report
All weights at the 1 nearest barns
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Hardin County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Hardin County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Hardin County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Hardin County was in abnormally dry (D0), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 33% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Hardin County?
No burn ban is listed for Hardin County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Hardin County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (152 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.