Frio County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Frio County, TX was in extreme drought (D3), with 16% at exceptional drought (D4); week 5 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Over 90 days rain is at 33% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 65% (below normal); the NWS forecast peaks at a 51% rain chance on today (high 88°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 8–12 leans toward near-normal rain. FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Frio County with up to 5 monthly payments, and Giddings is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 159 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 65% of normal
- Last 60 days 41% of normal
- Last 90 days 33% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 8–12) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 10–16) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 88°, low 70°, 51% rain, wind 5 mph
- Tuesday Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Mostly Sunny, high 81°, low 53°, 33% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 78°, low 58°, 0% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Mostly Sunny, high 80°, low 60°, 11% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 76°, low 56°, 19% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Saturday Chance Rain Showers, high 69°, low 53°, 39% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Sunday Mostly Sunny, high 69°, low 49°, 12% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 2, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
PRF pasture insurance: sign up by Dec 1, 2026
The 2027 Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) insurance sales closing date for Frio County is Dec 1, 2026, 29 days from today. PRF (Rainfall Index) pays on a rainfall index for your grid, not on your own rain gauge. You buy it through a crop insurance agent.
How PRF works · PRF 2027 sign-up · Find your grid on RMA's PRF tool
Date from USDA RMA's actuarial data, read Aug 28, 2026 · RMA dates map. Your agent confirms the date for your policy.
Frio County grass production
In 2025, grassland and pasture in Frio County grew about 1,392 pounds per acre of grass and forbs, 86% of the county's 1991-2020 normal of 1,614 pounds per acre. That was the 13th lowest of 40 years on record (1986-2025). Best year: 2007 at 2,404 pounds per acre; worst: 1988 at 559.
Pounds per acre of new grass and forbs each year on rangeland and pasture, from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (satellite-based estimates). See every year on the Land tab.
Open loss windows 2 open
| What happened | Started | Tell FSA early by | FSA deadline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exceptional drought (D4) reached (U.S. Drought Monitor) | Oct 20, 2026 | Nov 19, 2026 (17 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
| Extreme drought (D3) reached (U.S. Drought Monitor) | Oct 6, 2026 | Nov 5, 2026 (3 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
If this cost you livestock, extra feed or hauled water, call your county FSA office now, while it's fresh. The 30-day date is a suggestion from Cownty; FSA's deadline for the notice of loss and application is the March 1 date. Log it in your Drought Ledger · Find your FSA office and phone
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Frio County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Frio County
Forecast for the center point of Frio County.
- Today Mostly Sunny 88° 70° SSE 5 mph 51% rain
- Tue Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Mostly Sunny 81° 53° N 0–10 mph 33% rain
- Wed Sunny 78° 58° ENE 0–5 mph 0% rain
- Thu Mostly Sunny 80° 60° SE 0–5 mph 11% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 76° 56° NNE 0–10 mph 19% rain
- Sat Chance Rain Showers 69° 53° NE 0–10 mph 39% rain
- Sun Mostly Sunny 69° 49° N 0–5 mph 12% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 2, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Aug 26, 2026.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 2, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 2, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.15 in; same month last year 1.46 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (75 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 2, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Frio County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Cotulla La Salle Co Ap weather station (29 mi away)
farther away No station with freeze dates is close to the county center, so local dates can differ.
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 300-day growing season |
Feb 11 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 9 |
Dec 3 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 15 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 337-day growing season |
Jan 20 1 year in 10 it's after Feb 28 |
Dec 19 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 25 |
Dilley weather station (14 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 296-day growing season |
Feb 16 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 12 |
Dec 6 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 16 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 336-day growing season |
Jan 26 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 1 |
Dec 23 1 year in 10 it's before Dec 1 |
short record Based on only 17 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Cotulla La Salle Co Ap, Dilley), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Frio County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Frio County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Frio County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Frio County was in extreme drought (D3), and the worst part was exceptional drought (D4) on 16% of the county. 5 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Frio County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Frio County (since Aug 26, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Frio County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (159 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026; San Angelo (195 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.