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Falls County, TX

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CRP emergency haying & grazing: Falls County is on FSA's list (since Sep 8, 2026). Check with your FSA county office first. Details · FSA list as of Oct 29, 2026.

Falls County rain, outlook and forecast

The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Falls County, TX in severe drought (D2), with 21% at extreme drought (D3), and D2-or-worse drought has held there 8 weeks running. Rain has run 11% of normal over the last 30 days (well below normal) and 25% over 90 days; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and the best rain chance this week is 77% on Monday (high 86°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Falls County with up to 4 monthly payments, and Giddings is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 74 miles.

Rain vs normal

  • Last 30 days 11% of normal
  • Last 60 days 26% of normal
  • Last 90 days 25% of normal

NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.

Rain outlook

  • 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
  • 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain

NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.

Next 7 days

  1. Today Mostly Sunny, high 84°, low 66°, 3% rain, wind 0–5 mph
  2. Monday Patchy Fog then Mostly Sunny, high 86°, low 67°, 77% rain, wind 5–15 mph
  3. Tuesday Showers And Thunderstorms Likely then Mostly Sunny, high 77°, low 50°, 69% rain, wind 0–10 mph
  4. Wednesday Sunny, high 76°, low 49°, 1% rain, wind 0–5 mph
  5. Thursday Sunny, high 79°, low 49°, 5% rain, wind 0–5 mph
  6. Friday Mostly Sunny, high 75°, low 47°, 3% rain, wind 0–10 mph
  7. Saturday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 73°, low 48°, 22% rain, wind 0–5 mph

National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.

Open loss windows 1 open

What happenedStartedTell FSA early byFSA deadline
Extreme drought (D3) reached (U.S. Drought Monitor) Oct 13, 2026Nov 12, 2026 (11 days left)Mar 1, 2027

If this cost you livestock, extra feed or hauled water, call your county FSA office now, while it's fresh. The 30-day date is a suggestion from Cownty; FSA's deadline for the notice of loss and application is the March 1 date. Log it in your Drought Ledger · Find your FSA office and phone

Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.

Drought-sale tax flag IRS list

Falls County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).

Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.

Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer

Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)

Prices

5-wt steers, nearest barns

Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.

BarnLast sale5-wt steers
Giddings 74 miOct 26$359
How to read this

Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.

Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.

Price history · Barn map

All weights at the 1 nearest barns

Giddings 74 mi

Giddings, TX
Sale of Oct 26, 2026
CattleHead$/cwt≈ $/head
Heifers 400-499 lb41380.30$1,710
Heifers 500-599 lb46411.14$2,260
Heifers 600-699 lb18350.76$2,280
Heifers 700-799 lb7306.14$2,300
Steers 400-499 lb70418.38$1,880
Steers 500-599 lb60359.47$1,980
Steers 600-699 lb38338.50$2,200
Steers 700-799 lb7318.55$2,390

USDA report (PDF) · Price history

Drought

Drought, past 12 months

100% of the county in severe drought or worse, 8 weeks running.

How to read this

Each band is how much of the county was in that drought level that week. Darker = worse. D2 (severe) and darker can trigger USDA drought pay.

Right now: 100% of the county is in severe drought or worse; some of it has been for 8 weeks running. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor, map of Oct 27, 2026.

See the drought map

Programs

Drought pasture pay (LFP)

On FSA's 2026 list for 6 pasture types. Up to 4 monthly payments.

Bring head counts, grazing leases and pasture acres to your county FSA office.

How to read this

Each bar is a pasture type; the number is how many monthly payments it qualifies for (1 to 5).

Pasture table
Pasture typeGrazing periodQualifying datePayments
Annual Ryegrass2026-01-01 to 2026-05-312026-03-304
Full Season Improved2026-01-01 to 2026-12-312026-03-304
Long Season Small Grains2025-11-01 to 2026-05-312026-03-304
Native Pasture2026-01-01 to 2026-12-312026-03-304
Short Ssn Spring Sml Grn2025-11-15 to 2026-05-312026-03-304
Forage Sorghum2026-06-01 to 2026-09-302026-09-293

FSA "Counties & Pasture Types Eligible for 2026 LFP", file dated Oct 29, 2026 (download). FSA decides eligibility. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.

USDA disaster declarations

  • Apr 24, 2026 · Drought
    Falls declared · crop year 2026
  • Apr 10, 2026 · Drought
    Neighboring county declared (counts for Falls) · crop year 2026
  • Mar 25, 2025 · Drought
    Neighboring county declared (counts for Falls) · crop year 2025

"Declared" means USDA named this county. "Neighboring" means it touches a declared county. Either way, FSA emergency loans can open for about 8 months. FSA designation files (dated Jan 28, 2026, Oct 19, 2026). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.

CRP emergency haying and grazing

Open Falls County is on FSA's emergency haying and grazing list, starting Sep 8, 2026. Trigger: D2 (severe) drought on the Drought Monitor. Get an updated conservation plan from FSA before cutting or turning out.

Before haying and grazing, contact your FSA county office to see if your county remains eligible and/or obtain a modified conservation plan. This list is cumulative for the year and current local conditions may have changed.

Source: FSA eligible-county table posted Oct 29, 2026 · map · FSA program page. FSA posts a new file every Thursday. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.

Screwworm (Texas Animal Health Commission)

Not in a screwworm zone

Nearest infested zone: 226 mi straight-line (Infested Zone 04). Statewide: 13 counties touch an infested zone, 1 the surveillance zone. See the map.

Latest statewide screwworm orders and animal-health alerts

Check wounds and navels. Suspect a case? Call the Commission's veterinarian on call, 1-800-550-8242.

Source: Texas Animal Health Commission screwworm zone map (zones as of Nov 1, 2026), screwworm orders and news releases; each item is dated by the Commission. Its orders, not this page, set movement rules. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.

New FSA programs: watch list

Weather & fire

Next 7 days · National Weather Service

Weather for Falls County

Forecast for the center point of Falls County.

    1. Today Mostly Sunny 84° 66° SE 0–5 mph 3% rain
    2. Mon Patchy Fog then Mostly Sunny 86° 67° S 5–15 mph 77% rain
    3. Tue Showers And Thunderstorms Likely then Mostly Sunny 77° 50° WNW 0–10 mph 69% rain
    4. Wed Sunny 76° 49° NNW 0–5 mph 1% rain
    5. Thu Sunny 79° 49° SW 0–5 mph 5% rain
    6. Fri Mostly Sunny 75° 47° N 0–10 mph 3% rain
    7. Sat Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers 73° 48° N 0–5 mph 22% rain

    Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.

    Burn ban

    Burn ban ON

    In effect since Aug 10, 2026.

    Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.

    Weather warnings right now

    None right now

    National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.

    Rainfall vs normal

    Sep 2026
    1.05 in 32% of normal
    Last 12 months
    28.49 in 74%
    How to read this

    Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.

    County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.28 in; same month last year 2.07 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.

    Wildfires

    No current fire perimeter in the county

    No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).

    See the fire map

    Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.

    Frost dates

    Frost and freeze dates

    30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Falls County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.

    Marlin weather station (5 mi away)

    Typical last spring frostTypical first fall frost
    Frost (32°F)
    234-day growing season
    Mar 21
    1 year in 10 it's after Apr 10
    Nov 9
    1 year in 10 it's before Oct 29
    Hard freeze (28°F)
    256-day growing season
    Mar 8
    1 year in 10 it's after Mar 31
    Nov 18
    1 year in 10 it's before Nov 3

    short record Based on only 19 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.

    Cameron weather station (28 mi away)

    farther away No station with freeze dates is close to the county center, so local dates can differ.

    Typical last spring frostTypical first fall frost
    Frost (32°F)
    261-day growing season
    Mar 6
    1 year in 10 it's after Mar 27
    Nov 23
    1 year in 10 it's before Nov 3
    Hard freeze (28°F)
    292-day growing season
    Feb 23
    1 year in 10 it's after Mar 15
    Dec 6
    1 year in 10 it's before Nov 12

    short record Based on only 18 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.

    Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Marlin, Cameron), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.

    Money

    FSA grain loan rates (2026)

    What FSA will lend on stored grain, per bushel. Lets you hold grain instead of selling at harvest.

    CropFalls CountyNational average
    Corn$2.61 /bu $2.42 /bu
    Grain sorghum$4.48 /cwt
    ($2.51 /bu)
    $2.42 /bu
    Soybeans$6.73 /bu $6.82 /bu
    Hard red winter wheat$3.76 /bu $3.72 /bu
    Soft red winter wheat$3.09 /bu $3.72 /bu

    County marketing-loan rates. Sorghum's county rate is set per 100 lb; the per-bushel figure uses 56 lb a bushel. Source: FSA 2026 corn/sorghum/soybean schedule, wheat schedule, national rates. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.

    FSA farm loan interest rates

    FSA direct loanRate
    Farm Operating - Direct5.375%
    Farm Operating - Microloan5.375%
    Farm Ownership - Direct6.250%
    Farm Ownership - Microloan6.250%
    Farm Ownership - Direct, Joint Financing4.250%
    Farm Ownership - Down Payment2.250%
    Emergency Loan - Amount of Actual Loss3.750%

    Set nationally by FSA; the same in every county. Effective Oct 1, 2026. Source: FSA current loan interest rates. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.

    Farm program payments by crop (ARC and PLC)

    ARC pays when county crop revenue falls below its guarantee. PLC pays when the national price falls below the reference price. You picked one per crop when you enrolled.

    2026 program year guarantees only FSA file of Jan 16, 2026

    CropGuaranteeMost it can pay
    Barley $277.78 $37.04
    Corn irrigated $600.51 $80.07
    Corn nonirrigated $462.25 $61.63
    Grain Sorghum $320.31 $42.71
    Oats $166.84 $22.25
    Peanuts $789.64 $105.29
    Seed Cotton irrigated $1,223.98 $163.20
    Seed Cotton nonirrigated $546.65 $72.89
    Soybeans $404.71 $53.96
    Sunflower Seed $327.21 $43.63
    Wheat $267.11 $35.61
    Show the math
    CropBenchmark yield × priceBenchmark revenue
    Barley48.0 bushel/ac × $6.43$308.64
    Corn irrigated132.65 bushel/ac × $5.03$667.23
    Corn nonirrigated102.11 bushel/ac × $5.03$513.61
    Grain Sorghum67.15 bushel/ac × $5.30$355.90
    Oats47.05 bushel/ac × $3.94$185.38
    Peanuts2785.33 pound/ac × $0.32$877.38
    Seed Cotton irrigated3154.68 pound/ac × $0.43$1,359.98
    Seed Cotton nonirrigated1408.92 pound/ac × $0.43$607.39
    Soybeans36.95 bushel/ac × $12.17$449.68
    Sunflower Seed1447.33 pound/ac × $0.25$363.57
    Wheat42.52 bushel/ac × $6.98$296.79

    Dollars per base acre, before the 85% payment-acre factor and sequestration. Source: FSA ARC-CO 2026 county data.

    2025 program year final payment rates FSA file of Sep 30, 2026

    CropGuaranteeActual revenueARC payment
    Barley $261.71 $16.38$34.89
    Corn irrigated $669.73 $709.70$0.00
    Corn nonirrigated $507.93 $600.20$0.00
    Grain Sorghum $344.25 $247.32$45.90
    Oats $178.92 $203.91$0.00
    Peanuts $770.74 $536.27$102.77
    Seed Cotton irrigated $1,153.19 $1,441.93$0.00
    Seed Cotton nonirrigated $514.67 $953.22$0.00
    Soybeans $439.77 $294.00$58.64
    Sunflower Seed $292.17 $272.25$19.92
    Wheat $278.04 $217.07$37.07
    Show the math
    CropBenchmark yield × priceBenchmark revenue
    Barley47.67 bushel/ac × $6.10$290.79
    Corn irrigated147.94 bushel/ac × $5.03$744.14
    Corn nonirrigated112.2 bushel/ac × $5.03$564.37
    Grain Sorghum72.17 bushel/ac × $5.30$382.50
    Oats51.77 bushel/ac × $3.84$198.80
    Peanuts2718.67 pound/ac × $0.32$856.38
    Seed Cotton irrigated2972.21 pound/ac × $0.43$1,281.32
    Seed Cotton nonirrigated1326.48 pound/ac × $0.43$571.85
    Soybeans40.15 bushel/ac × $12.17$488.63
    Sunflower Seed1293.33 pound/ac × $0.25$324.63
    Wheat44.26 bushel/ac × $6.98$308.93

    Dollars per base acre, before the 85% payment-acre factor and sequestration. Source: FSA ARC-CO 2025 county data.

    PLC, 2026 FSA table of Oct 9, 2026

    CropReference priceSeason avg pricePLC payment
    Wheat /bushel$6.35$6.30 projected$0.05 projected
    Barley /bushel$5.58$5.70 projected$0.00 projected
    Oats /bushel$3.05$3.35 projected$0.00 projected
    Corn /bushel$4.42$4.70 projected$0.00 projected
    Grain Sorghum /bushel$4.67$4.50 projected$0.17 projected
    Soybeans /bushel$10.71$12.00 projected$0.00 projected

    PLC rates are national (paid on the farm's PLC yield). Source: FSA 2026 PLC table. FSA decides who is paid.

    FSA payments in Falls County

    $11,946,024

    1,940 payments dated Jan 8, 2025 to Dec 22, 2025 (FSA payment file 2025).

    ProgramYearTotal
    Emergency Commodity Assistance Program2024$6,677,375
    Emergency Livestock Relief (2023-24 drought)2023$2,029,795
    Supplemental disaster relief (crops)2024$1,402,628
    ARC county payments2024$942,970
    Non-Insured Assistance Program2025$393,786
    Price Loss Coverage2024$163,899
    Non-Insured Assistance Program2024$146,871
    Supplemental disaster relief (crops)2023$126,633

    Plus 9 smaller program lines.

    County totals only: Cownty sums FSA's public payment file by county and never stores names or addresses. FSA files payments under its administrative county (Falls), which may differ from where the land is. Source: FSA payment file via the FOIA reading room.

    Crop conditions (statewide)

    Texas crop and pasture condition

    Texas statewide, not just your county. Wheat planting is on pace with normal (70% vs 70%). From USDA's weekly Crop Progress report, week ending Oct 25, 2026.

    ConditionPoor or
    very poor
    FairGood or
    excellent
    Pasture and Range45%35% 20%
    +2 vs last week
    Corn35%30% 35%
    +0 vs last week
    Cotton52%30% 18%
    +0 vs last week
    Peanut23%38% 39%
    -1 vs last week

    Progress

    TexasThis weekLast weekNormal (5-yr avg)
    Winter Wheat Planted70%64%70%
    Winter Wheat Emerged55%46%46%
    Sorghum Harvested95%90%97%
    Cotton Harvested55%46%43%
    Corn Harvested95%92%95%

    Wheat pasture condition

    Data pending. The Texas Field Office has not posted a 2026 weekly Texas Crop Progress and Condition file on its page, and the national report has no wheat-pasture rating. Check the NASS Texas Crop Progress & Condition page.

    Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress released Oct 26, 2026 (ESMIS), Texas rows. Week ending Oct 25, 2026. Fetched Oct 26, 2026.

    Deadlines

    • Nov 13, 2026in 12 days
      Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money
      NRCS conservation programs
      Details and source
      NRCS takes applications year-round; apply by this date to be ranked for this fiscal year's funding.
      Source: USDA NRCS · checked Nov 1, 2026
    • Dec 1, 2026in 30 days
      Last day to buy 2027 pasture rain insurance (PRF)
      Crop insurance (RMA)
      Details and source
      Plans: Rainfall Index
      Source: USDA RMA · more · checked Aug 28, 2026
    • Jan 1, 2027in 61 days
      Property values set for the tax year
      Texas property tax · January 1 every year · Tax Code Sec. 23.01(a)
      Details and source
      What the law saysDate that taxable values (except for inventories appraised Sept. 1) and qualification for certain exemptions are determined for the tax year (Secs. 11.42(a), 23.01(a), 23.12(f)).
      Source: Texas Comptroller · checked Nov 1, 2026
    • Feb 1, 2027in 92 days
      Last year's property taxes become delinquent if not paid
      Texas property tax · February 1 every year · Tax Code Sec. 31.02(a)
      Details and source
      What the law saysDate that taxes imposed the previous year become delinquent if a bill was mailed on or before Jan. 10 of the current year (Secs. 31.02(a), 31.04(a)).
      Source: Texas Comptroller · checked Nov 1, 2026
    • Mar 1, 2027in 120 days
      Livestock Forage Disaster Program (LFP): application and papers for 2026 losses are due by this date.
      FSA disaster programs · 7 CFR 1416.206(a)
      Details and source
      Source: USDA FSA · checked Oct 18, 2026

    All deadlines and report dates · FSA disaster-program deadlines are pending (no official feed).

    Coming up: EQIP and CSP FY2027 first ranking cutoff (12 days left) · PRF rainfall insurance for 2027 (30 days left) · ARC/PLC 2026 election and enrollment (40 days left) · LFP, LIP and ELAP for 2026 losses (120 days left)

    Land

    Where it is, with barns within 200 mi

    Dots are sale barns USDA reports on. Tap one for its latest prices.

    Who owns this land? Open the appraisal district map

    Grass grown on rangeland and pasture

    Grass grown in 2025: 3,633 lb per acre, well above normal (119% of the 1991-2020 average of 3,049).

    How to read this

    Each bar is one year's grass (darker = perennial grasses, lighter = annuals). The dashed line is the 1991-2020 average. A county average with cropland excluded, not your pasture.

    How we got this

    Satellite estimate of new above-ground growth of grasses and forbs for the year (annual + perennial, lb/acre), averaged over the county's grassland, pasture and shrubland (54% of the county in USDA's 2025 cropland map; farm fields are left out because the estimate isn't valid there, and the same 2025 map is used for every year). About about 120 m (RAP overview). Source: Rangeland Analysis Platform biomass v3 (data, Jones et al. 2021, CC0) and USDA NASS Cropland Data Layer.

    Source: Rangeland Analysis Platform, 2025 season. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.

    Nearest USDA-reported sale barns

    1. Giddings Livestock Commission Giddings, TX 74 mi · sells Mondays · latest USDA report Oct 26, 2026
    2. Producers Livestock Auction Co. San Angelo, TX 208 mi · sells Thursdays · latest USDA report Oct 29, 2026
    3. Southern Oklahoma Livestock (feeder cattle) Ada, OK 243 mi · sells Wednesdays · latest USDA report Oct 28, 2026

    Miles are straight-line from the county center. Sale days come from the barns' recent USDA AMS reports; call the barn to confirm. All barns

    Common questions and nearby counties

    Is Falls County eligible for LFP in 2026?

    Yes. Falls County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.

    Source: FSA LFP county file of Oct 29, 2026

    What is the drought level in Falls County this week?

    On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Falls County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 21% of the county. 8 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.

    Source: U.S. Drought Monitor, map of Oct 27, 2026

    Is there a burn ban in Falls County?

    Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Falls County (since Aug 10, 2026). Check with the county before burning.

    Source: official state burn-ban map, as of Nov 1, 2026

    What sale barns are near Falls County?

    The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (74 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.

    Source: USDA AMS Market News reports

    What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?

    Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.

    Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)

    Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.