Dewey County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Dewey County, OK was in exceptional drought (D4) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map; week 35 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Over 90 days rain is at 63% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 93% (near normal); the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and the NWS forecast peaks at a 38% rain chance on Monday (high 80°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Dewey County with up to 5 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Woodward, 37 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 93% of normal
- Last 60 days 94% of normal
- Last 90 days 63% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy, high 73°, low 63°, 34% rain, wind 10–24 mph
- Monday Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 80°, low 53°, 38% rain, wind 13–25 mph
- Tuesday Mostly Sunny, high 67°, low 45°, 6% rain, wind 5–21 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 70°, low 44°, 17% rain, wind 2–9 mph
- Thursday Mostly Sunny, high 67°, low 43°, 14% rain, wind 3–12 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 69°, low 45°, 6% rain, wind 3–8 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 69°, low 46°, 31% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Dewey County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Dewey County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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FSA grain loan rates (2026)
What FSA will lend on stored grain, per bushel. Lets you hold grain instead of selling at harvest.
| Crop | Dewey County | National average |
|---|---|---|
| Corn | $2.67 /bu | $2.42 /bu |
| Grain sorghum | $4.48 /cwt ($2.51 /bu) |
$2.42 /bu |
| Soybeans | $6.70 /bu | $6.82 /bu |
| Hard red winter wheat | $3.56 /bu | $3.72 /bu |
| Soft red winter wheat | $3.05 /bu | $3.72 /bu |
County marketing-loan rates. Sorghum's county rate is set per 100 lb; the per-bushel figure uses 56 lb a bushel. Source: FSA 2026 corn/sorghum/soybean schedule, wheat schedule, national rates. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
FSA farm loan interest rates
| FSA direct loan | Rate |
|---|---|
| Farm Operating - Direct | 5.375% |
| Farm Operating - Microloan | 5.375% |
| Farm Ownership - Direct | 6.250% |
| Farm Ownership - Microloan | 6.250% |
| Farm Ownership - Direct, Joint Financing | 4.250% |
| Farm Ownership - Down Payment | 2.250% |
| Emergency Loan - Amount of Actual Loss | 3.750% |
Set nationally by FSA; the same in every county. Effective Oct 1, 2026. Source: FSA current loan interest rates. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Farm program payments by crop (ARC and PLC)
ARC pays when county crop revenue falls below its guarantee. PLC pays when the national price falls below the reference price. You picked one per crop when you enrolled.
2026 program year guarantees only FSA file of Jan 16, 2026
| Crop | Guarantee | Most it can pay |
|---|---|---|
| Barley | $185.36 | $24.71 |
| Canola | $209.07 | $27.88 |
| Corn | $596.61 | $79.55 |
| Grain Sorghum | $155.36 | $20.71 |
| Oats | $138.93 | $18.52 |
| Peanuts | $1,223.02 | $163.07 |
| Seed Cotton | $526.48 | $70.20 |
| Soybeans | $346.88 | $46.25 |
| Wheat irrigated | $262.58 | $35.01 |
| Wheat nonirrigated | $163.96 | $21.86 |
Show the math
| Crop | Benchmark yield × price | Benchmark revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Barley | 32.03 bushel/ac × $6.43 | $205.95 |
| Canola | 895.18 pound/ac × $0.26 | $232.30 |
| Corn | 131.79 bushel/ac × $5.03 | $662.90 |
| Grain Sorghum | 32.57 bushel/ac × $5.30 | $172.62 |
| Oats | 39.18 bushel/ac × $3.94 | $154.37 |
| Peanuts | 4313.99 pound/ac × $0.32 | $1,358.91 |
| Seed Cotton | 1356.94 pound/ac × $0.43 | $584.98 |
| Soybeans | 31.67 bushel/ac × $12.17 | $385.42 |
| Wheat irrigated | 41.8 bushel/ac × $6.98 | $291.76 |
| Wheat nonirrigated | 26.1 bushel/ac × $6.98 | $182.18 |
Dollars per base acre, before the 85% payment-acre factor and sequestration. Source: FSA ARC-CO 2026 county data.
2025 program year final payment rates FSA file of Sep 30, 2026
| Crop | Guarantee | Actual revenue | ARC payment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barley | $179.91 | $178.92 | $0.99 |
| Canola | $199.61 | $164.89 | $26.61 |
| Corn | $569.22 | $523.08 | $46.14 |
| Grain Sorghum | $175.20 | $127.61 | $23.36 |
| Oats | $137.30 | $128.33 | $8.97 |
| Peanuts | $1,202.69 | $996.94 | $160.36 |
| Seed Cotton | $550.27 | $483.34 | $66.93 |
| Soybeans | $335.93 | $322.04 | $13.89 |
| Wheat irrigated | $269.62 | $207.76 | $35.95 |
| Wheat nonirrigated | $162.64 | $116.28 | $21.69 |
Show the math
| Crop | Benchmark yield × price | Benchmark revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Barley | 32.77 bushel/ac × $6.10 | $199.90 |
| Canola | 854.7 pound/ac × $0.26 | $221.79 |
| Corn | 125.74 bushel/ac × $5.03 | $632.47 |
| Grain Sorghum | 36.73 bushel/ac × $5.30 | $194.67 |
| Oats | 39.73 bushel/ac × $3.84 | $152.56 |
| Peanuts | 4242.3 pound/ac × $0.32 | $1,336.32 |
| Seed Cotton | 1418.26 pound/ac × $0.43 | $611.41 |
| Soybeans | 30.67 bushel/ac × $12.17 | $373.25 |
| Wheat irrigated | 42.92 bushel/ac × $6.98 | $299.58 |
| Wheat nonirrigated | 25.89 bushel/ac × $6.98 | $180.71 |
Dollars per base acre, before the 85% payment-acre factor and sequestration. Source: FSA ARC-CO 2025 county data.
PLC, 2026 FSA table of Oct 9, 2026
| Crop | Reference price | Season avg price | PLC payment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wheat /bushel | $6.35 | $6.30 projected | $0.05 projected |
| Barley /bushel | $5.58 | $5.70 projected | $0.00 projected |
| Oats /bushel | $3.05 | $3.35 projected | $0.00 projected |
| Corn /bushel | $4.42 | $4.70 projected | $0.00 projected |
| Grain Sorghum /bushel | $4.67 | $4.50 projected | $0.17 projected |
| Soybeans /bushel | $10.71 | $12.00 projected | $0.00 projected |
PLC rates are national (paid on the farm's PLC yield). Source: FSA 2026 PLC table. FSA decides who is paid.
FSA payments in Dewey County
$9,190,411
2,824 payments dated Jan 8, 2025 to Dec 29, 2025 (FSA payment file 2025).
| Program | Year | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Emergency Commodity Assistance Program | 2024 | $2,987,401 |
| Emergency Livestock Relief (2023-24 drought) | 2023 | $2,739,657 |
| Supplemental disaster relief (crops) | 2023 | $784,461 |
| Emergency Livestock Relief (2023-24 drought) | 2024 | $666,537 |
| LFP drought pasture pay | 2024 | $453,945 |
| Ecp Financial Assistance Cof | – | $425,355 |
| Non-Insured Assistance Program | 2025 | $322,751 |
| Supplemental disaster relief (crops) | 2024 | $192,593 |
Plus 17 smaller program lines.
County totals only: Cownty sums FSA's public payment file by county and never stores names or addresses. FSA files payments under its administrative county (Dewey), which may differ from where the land is. Source: FSA payment file via the FOIA reading room.
Crop conditions (statewide)
Oklahoma crop and pasture condition
Oklahoma statewide, not just your county. Wheat planting is behind normal (51% vs 69%). From USDA's weekly Crop Progress report, week ending Oct 25, 2026.
| Condition | Poor or very poor | Fair | Good or excellent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pasture and Range | 49% | 34% | 17% +4 vs last week |
| Cotton | 63% | 30% | 7% -2 vs last week |
| Peanut | 9% | 19% | 72% +6 vs last week |
Progress
| Oklahoma | This week | Last week | Normal (5-yr avg) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Wheat Planted | 51% | 37% | 69% |
| Winter Wheat Emerged | 32% | 18% | 47% |
| Sorghum Harvested | 66% | 61% | 56% |
| Cotton Harvested | 17% | 9% | 27% |
Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress released Oct 26, 2026 (ESMIS), Oklahoma rows. Week ending Oct 25, 2026. Fetched Oct 26, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Dewey County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Dewey County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Dewey County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Dewey County was in exceptional drought (D4), and the worst part was exceptional drought (D4) on 100% of the county. 35 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Dewey County?
No burn ban is listed for Dewey County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Dewey County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Woodward (37 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; El Reno (66 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Apache (83 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 1, 2026: Property taxes due (bills payable from November 1); Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.