Coal County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Coal County, OK was in severe drought (D2) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map; week 11 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Rain has run 35% of normal over the last 30 days (well below normal) and 80% over 90 days, so the past month has been drier than the season so far; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and the best rain chance this week is 99% on Monday (high 83°). Coal County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and Ada is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 25 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 35% of normal
- Last 60 days 105% of normal
- Last 90 days 80% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Partly Sunny, high 79°, low 62°, 6% rain, wind 3–9 mph
- Monday Mostly Cloudy then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 83°, low 60°, 99% rain, wind 7–16 mph
- Tuesday Mostly Sunny, high 74°, low 48°, 9% rain, wind 6–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 72°, low 45°, 1% rain, wind 2–6 mph
- Thursday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Sunny, high 74°, low 45°, 17% rain, wind 1–6 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 72°, low 45°, 2% rain, wind 2–6 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 72°, low 47°, 22% rain, wind 2–6 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Coal County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Coal County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Coal County
Forecast for the center point of Coal County.
- Today Partly Sunny 79° 62° SE 3–9 mph 6% rain
- Mon Mostly Cloudy then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 83° 60° S 7–16 mph 99% rain
- Tue Mostly Sunny 74° 48° W 6–10 mph 9% rain
- Wed Sunny 72° 45° NW 2–6 mph 1% rain
- Thu Slight Chance Rain Showers then Sunny 74° 45° W 1–6 mph 17% rain
- Fri Sunny 72° 45° N 2–6 mph 2% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny 72° 47° WNW 2–6 mph 22% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No burn ban
Oklahoma Forestry Services burn-ban map, which carries county commissioners' bans and the Governor's burn-ban proclamations (source, rules). County row as of Oct 3, 2026. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 4.39 in; same month last year 2.24 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Coal County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Centrahoma 2 Ese weather station (2 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 219-day growing season |
Mar 31 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 18 |
Nov 4 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 22 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 242-day growing season |
Mar 16 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 4 |
Nov 14 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 30 |
short record Based on only 16 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Atoka weather station (15 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 211-day growing season |
Apr 5 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 22 |
Nov 1 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 18 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 234-day growing season |
Mar 22 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 8 |
Nov 10 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 26 |
short record Based on only 16 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Centrahoma 2 Ese, Atoka), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Coal County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Coal County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Coal County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Coal County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 100% of the county. 11 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Coal County?
No burn ban is listed for Coal County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Coal County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Ada (25 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; McAlester (38 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Tulsa (109 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 1, 2026: Property taxes due (bills payable from November 1); Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.