Childress County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Childress County, TX was in moderate drought (D1) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, with 24% at severe drought (D2), and D2-or-worse drought has held there 35 weeks running. Childress County has had 227% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 106% over 90 days, so the past month has been wetter than the season so far; the best rain chance this week is 35% on today (high 71°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. Childress County (county seat: Childress) is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Tulia, 90 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 227% of normal
- Last 60 days 160% of normal
- Last 90 days 106% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Cloudy, high 71°, low 63°, 35% rain, wind 10–15 mph
- Monday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 82°, low 52°, 16% rain, wind 10–20 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 71°, low 45°, 0% rain, wind 5–20 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 73°, low 47°, 3% rain, wind 5 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 69°, low 42°, 2% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 67°, low 44°, 7% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 68°, low 45°, 18% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Childress County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Childress County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Childress County
Forecast for the center point of Childress County.
- Today Cloudy 71° 63° SE 10–15 mph 35% rain
- Mon Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers 82° 52° SSW 10–20 mph 16% rain
- Tue Sunny 71° 45° NW 5–20 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 73° 47° SW 5 mph 3% rain
- Thu Sunny 69° 42° N 5–10 mph 2% rain
- Fri Sunny 67° 44° NE 0–5 mph 7% rain
- Sat Slight Chance Rain Showers 68° 45° NW 5–10 mph 18% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Sep 14, 2026.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 2.51 in; same month last year 1.09 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Childress County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Childress 2 weather station (6 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 217-day growing season |
Apr 3 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 17 |
Nov 5 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 20 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 240-day growing season |
Mar 21 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 7 |
Nov 15 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 29 |
Childress Muni Ap weather station (8 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 222-day growing season |
Mar 31 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 15 |
Nov 7 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 22 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 247-day growing season |
Mar 15 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 5 |
Nov 18 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 2 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Childress 2, Childress Muni Ap), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Printable county brief (PDF) · Everything on one page · Hay prices in Texas · County seat: Childress
Common questions and nearby counties
Is Childress County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Childress County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Childress County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Childress County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 24% of the county. 35 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Childress County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Childress County (since Sep 14, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Childress County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Tulia (90 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Apache (108 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Wildorado (118 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 1, 2026: Grapevine 2027: last day to buy crop insurance; Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.