Cass County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of Cass County, TX was in extreme drought (D3), with 22% at exceptional drought (D4); week 7 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Cass County has had 20% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 39% over 90 days; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 8–12 leans drier than normal (40% chance of below-normal rain) and the best rain chance this week is 96% on Tuesday (high 72°). Cass County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Hope, 60 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 20% of normal
- Last 60 days 23% of normal
- Last 90 days 39% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 8–12) Leans drier than normal (40% chance of below-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 10–16) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 81°, low 66°, 70% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Tuesday Showers And Thunderstorms, high 72°, low 50°, 96% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 72°, low 46°, 1% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 76°, low 48°, 4% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 73°, low 45°, 1% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 69°, low 42°, 7% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Sunday Mostly Sunny, high 68°, low 40°, 5% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 2, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
PRF pasture insurance: sign up by Dec 1, 2026
The 2027 Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) insurance sales closing date for Cass County is Dec 1, 2026, 29 days from today. PRF (Rainfall Index) pays on a rainfall index for your grid, not on your own rain gauge. You buy it through a crop insurance agent.
How PRF works · PRF 2027 sign-up · Find your grid on RMA's PRF tool
Date from USDA RMA's actuarial data, read Aug 28, 2026 · RMA dates map. Your agent confirms the date for your policy.
Cass County grass production
In 2025, grassland and pasture in Cass County grew about 2,723 pounds per acre of grass and forbs, 113% of the county's 1991-2020 normal of 2,412 pounds per acre. That was the 7th best of 40 years on record (1986-2025). Best year: 2001 at 2,989 pounds per acre; worst: 1986 at 1,157.
Pounds per acre of new grass and forbs each year on rangeland and pasture, from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (satellite-based estimates). See every year on the Land tab.
Open loss windows 1 open
| What happened | Started | Tell FSA early by | FSA deadline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exceptional drought (D4) reached (U.S. Drought Monitor) | Oct 27, 2026 | Nov 26, 2026 (24 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
If this cost you livestock, extra feed or hauled water, call your county FSA office now, while it's fresh. The 30-day date is a suggestion from Cownty; FSA's deadline for the notice of loss and application is the March 1 date. Log it in your Drought Ledger · Find your FSA office and phone
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Cass County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Cass County
Forecast for the center point of Cass County.
- Today Mostly Sunny 81° 66° SE 5–10 mph 70% rain
- Tue Showers And Thunderstorms 72° 50° SW 0–10 mph 96% rain
- Wed Sunny 72° 46° NW 0–5 mph 1% rain
- Thu Sunny 76° 48° S 0–5 mph 4% rain
- Fri Sunny 73° 45° N 0–5 mph 1% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny 69° 42° N 0–5 mph 7% rain
- Sun Mostly Sunny 68° 40° NW 0–5 mph 5% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 2, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Aug 17, 2026.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 2, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 2, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.90 in; same month last year 2.01 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
Nearest current perimeter: RX Buck Creek (Prescribed fire, OK), about 88 mi from the county center; 805 acres, containment not reported, perimeter of Jun 1, 2026.
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 2, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Cass County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Jefferson weather station (22 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 236-day growing season |
Mar 18 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 7 |
Nov 8 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 26 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 265-day growing season |
Mar 3 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 22 |
Nov 22 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 1 |
Daingerfield 9 S weather station (24 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 259-day growing season |
Mar 8 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 27 |
Nov 22 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 4 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 287-day growing season |
Feb 24 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 14 |
Dec 4 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 13 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Jefferson, Daingerfield 9 S), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Cass County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Cass County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Cass County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Cass County was in extreme drought (D3), and the worst part was exceptional drought (D4) on 22% of the county. 7 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Cass County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Cass County (since Aug 17, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Cass County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Hope (60 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; McAlester (151 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Ratcliff (156 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.