Carter County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Carter County, OK abnormally dry (D0), with 11% at severe drought (D2), and D2-or-worse drought has held there 12 weeks running. Carter County has had 114% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 103% over 90 days; the best rain chance this week is 84% on Monday (high 80°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Carter County with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Ada, 50 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 114% of normal
- Last 60 days 134% of normal
- Last 90 days 103% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 77°, low 61°, 3% rain, wind 5–8 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 80°, low 54°, 84% rain, wind 7–20 mph
- Tuesday Mostly Sunny, high 71°, low 46°, 0% rain, wind 2–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 71°, low 46°, 2% rain, wind 2–7 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 71°, low 44°, 4% rain, wind 2–8 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 68°, low 44°, 2% rain, wind 2–7 mph
- Saturday Sunny, high 68°, low 45°, 19% rain, wind 1–6 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Carter County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Carter County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Carter County
Forecast for the center point of Carter County.
- Today Mostly Sunny 77° 61° SE 5–8 mph 3% rain
- Mon Partly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 80° 54° S 7–20 mph 84% rain
- Tue Mostly Sunny 71° 46° WNW 2–15 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 71° 46° W 2–7 mph 2% rain
- Thu Sunny 71° 44° NNE 2–8 mph 4% rain
- Fri Sunny 68° 44° N 2–7 mph 2% rain
- Sat Sunny 68° 45° NW 1–6 mph 19% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No burn ban
Oklahoma Forestry Services burn-ban map, which carries county commissioners' bans and the Governor's burn-ban proclamations (source, rules). County row as of Oct 5, 2026. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.80 in; same month last year 2.71 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Carter County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Healdton 3 E weather station (8 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 204-day growing season |
Apr 6 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 25 |
Nov 1 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 15 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 225-day growing season |
Mar 28 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 15 |
Nov 8 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 24 |
Ardmore weather station (9 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 244-day growing season |
Mar 15 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 2 |
Nov 14 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 29 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 268-day growing season |
Mar 3 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 22 |
Nov 26 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 6 |
short record Based on only 14 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Healdton 3 E, Ardmore), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Carter County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Carter County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Carter County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Carter County was in abnormally dry (D0), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 11% of the county. 12 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Carter County?
No burn ban is listed for Carter County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Carter County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Ada (50 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; Apache (75 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; El Reno (97 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 1, 2026: Property taxes due (bills payable from November 1); Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.