Cameron County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Cameron County, TX was in moderate drought (D1) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map; 53% of the county is in moderate drought (D1) or worse, down from 100% four weeks earlier. Rain has run 245% of normal over the last 30 days (well above normal) and 88% over 90 days, so the past month has been wetter than the season so far; Tuesday carries the week's highest rain chance at 38% (high 92°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 6–10 leans wetter than normal (50% chance of above-normal rain). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Cameron County with up to 4 monthly payments.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 245% of normal
- Last 60 days 101% of normal
- Last 90 days 88% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 6–10) Leans wetter than normal (50% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 8–14) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Oct 31, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 89°, low 72°, 5% rain, wind 3–12 mph
- Monday Mostly Sunny, high 91°, low 74°, 0% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Tuesday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 92°, low 69°, 38% rain, wind 6–12 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 83°, low 66°, 4% rain, wind 2–13 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 86°, low 68°, 10% rain, wind 3–12 mph
- Friday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 84°, low 68°, 17% rain, wind 5–14 mph
- Saturday Chance Rain Showers, high 83°, low 67°, 35% rain, wind 6–14 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Cameron County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Cameron County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Cameron County
Forecast for the center point of Cameron County.
- Coastal Flood Statement
- Today Mostly Sunny 89° 72° E 3–12 mph 5% rain
- Mon Mostly Sunny 91° 74° SSE 5–15 mph 0% rain
- Tue Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 92° 69° SSE 6–12 mph 38% rain
- Wed Sunny 83° 66° N 2–13 mph 4% rain
- Thu Sunny 86° 68° ESE 3–12 mph 10% rain
- Fri Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny 84° 68° NE 5–14 mph 17% rain
- Sat Chance Rain Showers 83° 67° ENE 6–14 mph 35% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No burn ban
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
- Coastal Flood Statement Minor
Coastal Flood Statement issued October 31 at 10:50PM CDT until November 2 at 6:00AM CST by NWS Brownsville TX
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 5.32 in; same month last year 3.09 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (92 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Cameron County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Port Isabel Cameron Ap weather station (9 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 365-day growing season |
Jan 8 1 year in 10 it's after Feb 7 |
Jan 4 1 year in 10 it's before Dec 10 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 365-day growing season |
– 1 year in 10 it's after – |
– 1 year in 10 it's before – |
Port Isabel weather station (10 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 365-day growing season |
Jan 3 1 year in 10 it's after Feb 2 |
Jan 1 1 year in 10 it's before Dec 7 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 365-day growing season |
Jan 2 1 year in 10 it's after Jan 22 |
Jan 1 1 year in 10 it's before Dec 12 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Port Isabel Cameron Ap, Port Isabel), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Cameron County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Cameron County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Cameron County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Cameron County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 53% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Cameron County?
No burn ban is listed for Cameron County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Cameron County?
No USDA-reported sale barn within 200 miles.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 1, 2026: Grapefruit Trees 2027: last day to buy crop insurance; Nov 1, 2026: Lemon Trees 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.