Bernalillo County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Bernalillo County, NM was in moderate drought (D1) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map; four weeks earlier 100% of the county was in moderate drought (D1) or worse, now 69%. Rain has run 54% of normal over the last 30 days (below normal) and 164% over 90 days, so the past month has been drier than the season so far; the NWS forecast peaks at a 92% rain chance on today (high 67°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Bernalillo County with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Belen, 21 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 54% of normal
- Last 60 days 243% of normal
- Last 90 days 164% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 67°, low 45°, 92% rain, wind 15–25 mph
- Monday Chance Rain Showers then Sunny, high 60°, low 37°, 47% rain, wind 5–20 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 64°, low 37°, 0% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 67°, low 36°, 2% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 64°, low 37°, 0% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 67°, low 38°, 12% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Sunny, high 65°, low 36°, 11% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Bernalillo County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Bernalillo County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Bernalillo County
Forecast for the center point of Bernalillo County.
- Flood Watch
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning
- Windy on 1 day
- Today Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 67° 45° S 15–25 mph 92% rain
- Mon Chance Rain Showers then Sunny 60° 37° W 5–20 mph 47% rain
- Tue Sunny 64° 37° NW 0–5 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 67° 36° S 0–5 mph 2% rain
- Thu Sunny 64° 37° NW 0–5 mph 0% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 67° 38° NW 0–5 mph 12% rain
- Sat Sunny 65° 36° NW 5–10 mph 11% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No state restrictions
New Mexico Forestry Division (state forester) restrictions for non-municipal, non-federal, non-Tribal land in Bernalillo County (source), as of Oct 6, 2026. County rules and federal-land rules are separate; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
- Flood Watch Severe
Flood Watch issued November 1 at 2:09PM MST until November 2 at 11:00AM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM - Severe Thunderstorm Warning Severe
Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued November 1 at 4:33PM MST until November 1 at 5:00PM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 1.34 in; same month last year 1.73 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
Nearest current perimeter: Frijoles (Wildfire, NM), about 73 mi from the county center; 15,949 acres, 100% contained, perimeter of Sep 14, 2026.
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Bernalillo County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Albuquerque Valley weather station (3 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 189-day growing season |
Apr 18 1 year in 10 it's after May 3 |
Oct 24 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 13 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 215-day growing season |
Mar 31 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 18 |
Nov 2 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 21 |
Albuquerque Intl Ap weather station (3 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 208-day growing season |
Apr 6 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 23 |
Nov 3 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 21 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 238-day growing season |
Mar 17 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 7 |
Nov 15 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 31 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Albuquerque Valley, Albuquerque Intl Ap), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Bernalillo County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Bernalillo County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Bernalillo County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Bernalillo County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 69% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Bernalillo County?
No burn ban is listed for Bernalillo County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Bernalillo County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Belen (21 mi), last report Oct 30, 2026; Roswell (168 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 10, 2026: First half of property taxes due to the county treasurer; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.