Baylor County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Baylor County, TX was in severe drought (D2); week 10 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Baylor County has had 189% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 73% over 90 days, so the past month has been wetter than the season so far; the best rain chance this week is 30% on Monday (high 85°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. Baylor County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Apache, 101 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 189% of normal
- Last 60 days 102% of normal
- Last 90 days 73% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Partly Sunny, high 80°, low 65°, 5% rain, wind 6–14 mph
- Monday Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 85°, low 58°, 30% rain, wind 9–20 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 73°, low 51°, 0% rain, wind 7–16 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 74°, low 50°, 15% rain, wind 5–8 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 74°, low 48°, 4% rain, wind 6–10 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 72°, low 50°, 14% rain, wind 2–7 mph
- Saturday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 73°, low 51°, 21% rain, wind 5–9 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Baylor County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Baylor County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
Loading prices…
Loading drought…
Loading programs…
Weather for Baylor County
Forecast for the center point of Baylor County.
- Today Partly Sunny 80° 65° SSE 6–14 mph 5% rain
- Mon Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 85° 58° SSW 9–20 mph 30% rain
- Tue Sunny 73° 51° NW 7–16 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 74° 50° W 5–8 mph 15% rain
- Thu Sunny 74° 48° WNW 6–10 mph 4% rain
- Fri Sunny 72° 50° N 2–7 mph 14% rain
- Sat Slight Chance Rain Showers 73° 51° SW 5–9 mph 21% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Apr 12, 2021.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 2.84 in; same month last year 1.19 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (92 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Baylor County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Lake Kemp weather station (10 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 238-day growing season |
Mar 20 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 5 |
Nov 13 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 29 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 262-day growing season |
Mar 7 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 26 |
Nov 26 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 7 |
Seymour 3nw weather station (5 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 222-day growing season |
Mar 30 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 18 |
Nov 6 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 20 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 246-day growing season |
Mar 12 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 3 |
Nov 15 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 30 |
short record Based on only 12 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Lake Kemp, Seymour 3nw), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
Loading money…
Loading deadlines…
Loading land…
Common questions and nearby counties
Is Baylor County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Baylor County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Baylor County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Baylor County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 72% of the county. 10 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Baylor County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Baylor County (since Apr 12, 2021). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Baylor County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Apache (101 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; El Reno (151 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Tulia (160 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.