Bastrop County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Bastrop County, TX was in severe drought (D2) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map; week 59 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Bastrop County has had 23% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 32% over 90 days; the best rain chance this week is 74% on Tuesday (high 78°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain). Bastrop County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Giddings, 24 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 23% of normal
- Last 60 days 37% of normal
- Last 90 days 32% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Partly Sunny, high 87°, low 66°, 1% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny, high 86°, low 68°, 54% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Tuesday Showers And Thunderstorms Likely, high 78°, low 52°, 74% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 78°, low 51°, 0% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 80°, low 51°, 6% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 76°, low 50°, 4% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Saturday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 74°, low 50°, 24% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
PRF pasture insurance: sign up by Dec 1, 2026
The 2027 Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) insurance sales closing date for Bastrop County is Dec 1, 2026, 30 days from today. PRF (Rainfall Index) pays on a rainfall index for your grid, not on your own rain gauge. You buy it through a crop insurance agent.
How PRF works · PRF 2027 sign-up · Find your grid on RMA's PRF tool
Date from USDA RMA's actuarial data, read Aug 28, 2026 · RMA dates map. Your agent confirms the date for your policy.
Bastrop County grass production
In 2025, grassland and pasture in Bastrop County grew about 3,261 pounds per acre of grass and forbs, 104% of the county's 1991-2020 normal of 3,142 pounds per acre. That was the 14th best of 40 years on record (1986-2025). Best year: 2016 at 4,263 pounds per acre; worst: 1986 at 1,178.
Pounds per acre of new grass and forbs each year on rangeland and pasture, from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (satellite-based estimates). See every year on the Land tab.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Bastrop County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Bastrop County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Drought, past 12 months
100% of the county in severe drought or worse, 59 weeks running.
How to read this
Each band is how much of the county was in that drought level that week. Darker = worse. D2 (severe) and darker can trigger USDA drought pay.
Right now: 100% of the county is in severe drought or worse; some of it has been for 59 weeks running. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor, map of Oct 27, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Bastrop County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Bastrop County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Bastrop County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Bastrop County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 100% of the county. 59 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Bastrop County?
No burn ban is listed for Bastrop County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Bastrop County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (24 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.