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Adair County, OK

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CRP emergency haying & grazing: Adair County is on FSA's list (since Sep 1, 2026). Check with your FSA county office first. Details · FSA list as of Oct 29, 2026.

Adair County rain, outlook and forecast

Most of Adair County, OK was in severe drought (D2) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, with 9% at extreme drought (D3), and D2-or-worse drought has held there 11 weeks running. Over 90 days rain is at 51% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 56% (below normal); the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and the NWS forecast peaks at a 90% rain chance on Monday (high 77°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Adair County with up to 4 monthly payments, and Siloam Springs is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 21 miles.

Rain vs normal

  • Last 30 days 56% of normal
  • Last 60 days 67% of normal
  • Last 90 days 51% of normal

NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.

Rain outlook

  • 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
  • 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain)

NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.

Next 7 days

  1. Today Patchy Fog then Mostly Cloudy, high 73°, low 59°, 4% rain, wind 0–10 mph
  2. Monday Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 77°, low 59°, 90% rain, wind 10–15 mph
  3. Tuesday Chance Rain Showers, high 72°, low 45°, 34% rain, wind 0–10 mph
  4. Wednesday Mostly Sunny, high 66°, low 43°, 2% rain, wind 0–10 mph
  5. Thursday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 69°, low 42°, 17% rain, wind 0–5 mph
  6. Friday Mostly Sunny, high 68°, low 42°, 2% rain, wind 0–5 mph
  7. Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 69°, low 44°, 15% rain, wind 0–5 mph

National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.

Open loss windows

No open loss windows in Adair County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.

Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.

Drought-sale tax flag IRS list

Adair County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).

Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.

Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer

Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)

Next 7 days · National Weather Service

Weather for Adair County

Forecast for the center point of Adair County.

    1. Today Patchy Fog then Mostly Cloudy 73° 59° S 0–10 mph 4% rain
    2. Mon Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers 77° 59° S 10–15 mph 90% rain
    3. Tue Chance Rain Showers 72° 45° SW 0–10 mph 34% rain
    4. Wed Mostly Sunny 66° 43° NW 0–10 mph 2% rain
    5. Thu Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny 69° 42° W 0–5 mph 17% rain
    6. Fri Mostly Sunny 68° 42° N 0–5 mph 2% rain
    7. Sat Mostly Sunny 69° 44° SW 0–5 mph 15% rain

    Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.

    Burn ban

    No burn ban

    Oklahoma Forestry Services burn-ban map, which carries county commissioners' bans and the Governor's burn-ban proclamations (source, rules). County row as of Oct 1, 2026. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.

    Weather warnings right now

    None right now

    National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.

    Rainfall vs normal

    Sep 2026
    2.01 in 45% of normal
    Last 12 months
    37.25 in 75%
    How to read this

    Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.

    County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 4.49 in; same month last year 6.23 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.

    Wildfires

    No current fire perimeter in the county

    No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).

    See the fire map

    Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.

    Frost dates

    Frost and freeze dates

    30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Adair County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.

    Stilwell 5 Nnw weather station (0 mi away)

    Typical last spring frostTypical first fall frost
    Frost (32°F)
    217-day growing season
    Mar 31
    1 year in 10 it's after Apr 20
    Nov 4
    1 year in 10 it's before Oct 21
    Hard freeze (28°F)
    241-day growing season
    Mar 17
    1 year in 10 it's after Apr 6
    Nov 14
    1 year in 10 it's before Oct 26

    short record Based on only 12 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.

    Tahlequah weather station (18 mi away)

    Typical last spring frostTypical first fall frost
    Frost (32°F)
    209-day growing season
    Apr 4
    1 year in 10 it's after Apr 24
    Oct 31
    1 year in 10 it's before Oct 16
    Hard freeze (28°F)
    232-day growing season
    Mar 23
    1 year in 10 it's after Apr 9
    Nov 10
    1 year in 10 it's before Oct 26

    short record Based on only 16 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.

    Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Stilwell 5 Nnw, Tahlequah), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.

    Nearest USDA-reported sale barns

    1. Benton County Sale Barn Siloam Springs, AR 21 mi · sells Thursdays · latest USDA report Oct 29, 2026
    2. County Line Sale Ratcliff, AR 59 mi · sells Wednesdays · latest USDA report Oct 28, 2026
    3. Four State Stockyards Exeter, MO 66 mi · sells Tuesdays · latest USDA report Oct 27, 2026
    4. Tulsa Stockyards Tulsa, OK 72 mi · sells Mondays · latest USDA report Oct 26, 2026
    5. Joplin Regional Stockyards (feeder cattle) Carthage, MO 85 mi · sells Mondays · latest USDA report Oct 26, 2026

    Miles are straight-line from the county center. Sale days come from the barns' recent USDA AMS reports; call the barn to confirm. All barns

    Common questions and nearby counties

    Is Adair County eligible for LFP in 2026?

    Yes. Adair County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.

    Source: FSA LFP county file of Oct 29, 2026

    What is the drought level in Adair County this week?

    On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Adair County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 9% of the county. 11 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.

    Source: U.S. Drought Monitor, map of Oct 27, 2026

    Is there a burn ban in Adair County?

    No burn ban is listed for Adair County. Check with the county before burning.

    Source: official state burn-ban map, as of Oct 1, 2026

    What sale barns are near Adair County?

    The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Siloam Springs (21 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Ratcliff (59 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; Exeter (66 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026.

    Source: USDA AMS Market News reports

    What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?

    Next: Nov 1, 2026: Property taxes due (bills payable from November 1); Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.

    Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)

    Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.