Taos County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Taos County, NM was in moderate drought (D1) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, with 34% at severe drought (D2); week 83 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Over 90 days rain is at 215% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 226% (well above normal); the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and the NWS forecast peaks at a 91% rain chance on today (high 56°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Taos County with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Belen, 141 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 226% of normal
- Last 60 days 300% of normal
- Last 90 days 215% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Showers And Thunderstorms, high 56°, low 36°, 91% rain, wind 15–20 mph
- Monday Scattered Rain Showers, high 48°, low 27°, 53% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 53°, low 26°, 0% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Wednesday Isolated Rain Showers, high 53°, low 26°, 15% rain, wind 0–15 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 53°, low 26°, 0% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 54°, low 26°, 9% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Sunny, high 53°, low 26°, 12% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Taos County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Taos County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Taos County
Forecast for the center point of Taos County.
- Flood Watch
- Freeze on 6 nights
- Today Showers And Thunderstorms 56° 36° S 15–20 mph 91% rain
- Mon Scattered Rain Showers 48° 27° W 5–15 mph 53% rain
- Tue Sunny 53° 26° NW 0–5 mph 0% rain
- Wed Isolated Rain Showers 53° 26° SW 0–15 mph 15% rain
- Thu Sunny 53° 26° NW 0–5 mph 0% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 54° 26° NW 0–5 mph 9% rain
- Sat Sunny 53° 26° N 5–10 mph 12% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No state restrictions
New Mexico Forestry Division (state forester) restrictions for non-municipal, non-federal, non-Tribal land in Taos County (source), as of Oct 6, 2026. County rules and federal-land rules are separate; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
- Flood Watch Severe
Flood Watch issued November 1 at 2:09PM MST until November 2 at 11:00AM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 1.75 in; same month last year 1.98 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
Nearest current perimeter: Frijoles (Wildfire, NM), about 43 mi from the county center; 15,949 acres, 100% contained, perimeter of Sep 14, 2026.
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Taos County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Cerro weather station (12 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 116-day growing season |
May 31 1 year in 10 it's after Jun 13 |
Sep 26 1 year in 10 it's before Sep 14 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 138-day growing season |
May 18 1 year in 10 it's after Jun 3 |
Oct 3 1 year in 10 it's before Sep 20 |
Taos weather station (13 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 136-day growing season |
May 19 1 year in 10 it's after May 31 |
Oct 3 1 year in 10 it's before Sep 23 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 156-day growing season |
May 7 1 year in 10 it's after May 20 |
Oct 10 1 year in 10 it's before Sep 29 |
short record Based on only 11 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Cerro, Taos), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Taos County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Taos County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Taos County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Taos County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 34% of the county. 83 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Taos County?
No burn ban is listed for Taos County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Taos County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Belen (141 mi), last report Oct 30, 2026; La Junta LJLC (145 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; La Junta Winter (152 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 10, 2026: First half of property taxes due to the county treasurer; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.