San Miguel County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of San Miguel County, NM was in severe drought (D2) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, with 2% at extreme drought (D3), and D2-or-worse drought has held there 31 weeks running. San Miguel County has had 211% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 192% over 90 days; the NWS forecast peaks at a 94% rain chance on today (high 63°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. FSA's 2026 LFP list includes San Miguel County with up to 5 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Clovis, 117 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 211% of normal
- Last 60 days 283% of normal
- Last 90 days 192% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy then Showers And Thunderstorms, high 63°, low 47°, 94% rain, wind 15–30 mph
- Monday Sunny, high 57°, low 39°, 6% rain, wind 5–30 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 59°, low 39°, 0% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 59°, low 39°, 15% rain, wind 5–20 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 57°, low 38°, 1% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 57°, low 40°, 19% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Saturday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 55°, low 37°, 24% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in San Miguel County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
San Miguel County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for San Miguel County
Forecast for the center point of San Miguel County.
- Severe Thunderstorm Watch
- Wind Advisory
- Windy on 2 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy then Showers And Thunderstorms 63° 47° S 15–30 mph 94% rain
- Mon Sunny 57° 39° W 5–30 mph 6% rain
- Tue Sunny 59° 39° NE 5–10 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers 59° 39° SW 5–20 mph 15% rain
- Thu Sunny 57° 38° NE 5–10 mph 1% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 57° 40° SW 5–10 mph 19% rain
- Sat Slight Chance Rain Showers 55° 37° S 5–10 mph 24% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No state restrictions
Open burning restricted (burning of crop land, fields, range land, debris, burning ash piles, prescribed burning, weed burning)
New Mexico Forestry Division (state forester) restrictions for non-municipal, non-federal, non-Tribal land in San Miguel County (source), as of Oct 6, 2026. County rules and federal-land rules are separate; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
- Wind Advisory Moderate
Wind Advisory issued November 1 at 11:40AM MST until November 2 at 5:00AM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM - Severe Thunderstorm Watch Severe
Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued November 1 at 4:11PM MST until November 1 at 9:00PM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 2.21 in; same month last year 2.71 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
Nearest current perimeter: Frijoles (Wildfire, NM), about 62 mi from the county center; 15,949 acres, 100% contained, perimeter of Sep 14, 2026.
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest San Miguel County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Las Vegas Muni Ap weather station (23 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 149-day growing season |
May 10 1 year in 10 it's after May 23 |
Oct 7 1 year in 10 it's before Sep 26 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 167-day growing season |
May 1 1 year in 10 it's after May 14 |
Oct 16 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 3 |
Valmora weather station (24 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 135-day growing season |
May 18 1 year in 10 it's after Jun 3 |
Oct 1 1 year in 10 it's before Sep 21 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 155-day growing season |
May 5 1 year in 10 it's after May 20 |
Oct 9 1 year in 10 it's before Sep 27 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Las Vegas Muni Ap, Valmora), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is San Miguel County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. San Miguel County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in San Miguel County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of San Miguel County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 2% of the county. 31 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in San Miguel County?
No burn ban is listed for San Miguel County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near San Miguel County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Clovis (117 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; Belen (123 mi), last report Oct 30, 2026; Dalhart (131 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 10, 2026: First half of property taxes due to the county treasurer; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.