Republic County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of Republic County, KS showed no drought. Over 90 days rain is at 132% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 66% (below normal); the NWS forecast peaks at a 73% rain chance on Tuesday (high 56°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain). Republic County is not on FSA's 2026 LFP list yet, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Salina, 70 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 66% of normal
- Last 60 days 171% of normal
- Last 90 days 132% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Isolated Rain Showers, high 65°, low 60°, 56% rain, wind 10–25 mph
- Monday Showers And Thunderstorms Likely then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 74°, low 49°, 64% rain, wind 10–25 mph
- Tuesday Rain Showers Likely, high 56°, low 40°, 73% rain, wind 10–25 mph
- Wednesday Mostly Sunny, high 59°, low 39°, 3% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Thursday Mostly Sunny, high 56°, low 37°, 8% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 59°, low 40°, 3% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 62°, low 42°, 17% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Republic County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag
Neither Republic County nor any county touching it is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Republic County
Forecast for the center point of Republic County.
- Windy on 3 days
- Today Isolated Rain Showers 65° 60° SE 10–25 mph 56% rain
- Mon Showers And Thunderstorms Likely then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 74° 49° S 10–25 mph 64% rain
- Tue Rain Showers Likely 56° 40° NW 10–25 mph 73% rain
- Wed Mostly Sunny 59° 39° NW 0–10 mph 3% rain
- Thu Mostly Sunny 56° 37° NW 0–5 mph 8% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 59° 40° W 0–5 mph 3% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny 62° 42° NW 0–5 mph 17% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Republic County burning rules: Notify the Republic County Sheriff dispatcher at 785-527-5658 prior to burning.
From the county burning information page on the KDHE Flint Hills Smoke Management site (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. That page says it may be incomplete; call the county before burning.
No official ban list to check here, so Cownty shows the National Weather Service fire-weather alerts for the county instead: none right now. State fire-restrictions page.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 2.72 in; same month last year 3.00 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Republic County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Belleville weather station (1 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 175-day growing season |
Apr 22 1 year in 10 it's after May 5 |
Oct 17 1 year in 10 it's before Sep 30 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 195-day growing season |
Apr 12 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 27 |
Oct 26 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 10 |
Courtland weather station (13 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 187-day growing season |
Apr 17 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 29 |
Oct 21 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 5 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 206-day growing season |
Apr 8 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 22 |
Nov 1 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 16 |
short record Based on only 18 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Belleville, Courtland), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Republic County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Not on FSA's 2026 LFP county list as of Oct 29, 2026. FSA updates the list as drought changes.
What is the drought level in Republic County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Republic County was in no drought, and the worst part was no drought on 0% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Republic County?
No official statewide list to check: Kansas has no statewide official burn-ban list; county commissions set bans and announce them locally (county emergency management or sheriff).
What sale barns are near Republic County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Salina (70 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Pratt (161 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Dodge City (191 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 20, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.