Osage County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of Osage County, KS showed no drought. Rain has run 83% of normal over the last 30 days (below normal) and 157% over 90 days, so the past month has been drier than the season so far; the NWS forecast peaks at a 77% rain chance on today (high 74°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain). FSA has not added Osage County to its 2026 LFP list, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Salina, 103 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 83% of normal
- Last 60 days 219% of normal
- Last 90 days 157% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely, high 74°, low 55°, 77% rain, wind 10–30 mph
- Tuesday Chance Rain Showers, high 66°, low 43°, 31% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 64°, low 41°, 2% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Thursday Mostly Sunny, high 63°, low 38°, 8% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 62°, low 38°, 1% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 66°, low 40°, 15% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Sunday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Sunny, high 62°, low 39°, 15% rain, wind 5–15 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 2, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
PRF pasture insurance: sign up by Dec 1, 2026
The 2027 Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) insurance sales closing date for Osage County is Dec 1, 2026, 29 days from today. PRF (Rainfall Index) pays on a rainfall index for your grid, not on your own rain gauge. You buy it through a crop insurance agent.
How PRF works · PRF 2027 sign-up · Find your grid on RMA's PRF tool
Date from USDA RMA's actuarial data, read Aug 28, 2026 · RMA dates map. Your agent confirms the date for your policy.
Osage County grass production
In 2025, grassland and pasture in Osage County grew about 2,822 pounds per acre of grass and forbs, 105% of the county's 1991-2020 normal of 2,691 pounds per acre. That was the 16th best of 40 years on record (1986-2025). Best year: 2016 at 3,146 pounds per acre; worst: 1986 at 880.
Pounds per acre of new grass and forbs each year on rangeland and pasture, from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (satellite-based estimates). See every year on the Land tab.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Osage County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
A county next to Osage County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (Douglas County, KS). The IRS counts your county plus every county touching it.
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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FSA grain loan rates (2026)
What FSA will lend on stored grain, per bushel. Lets you hold grain instead of selling at harvest.
| Crop | Osage County | National average |
|---|---|---|
| Corn | $2.45 /bu | $2.42 /bu |
| Grain sorghum | $4.24 /cwt ($2.37 /bu) |
$2.42 /bu |
| Soybeans | $6.80 /bu | $6.82 /bu |
| Hard red winter wheat | $3.69 /bu | $3.72 /bu |
| Soft red winter wheat | $3.14 /bu | $3.72 /bu |
County marketing-loan rates. Sorghum's county rate is set per 100 lb; the per-bushel figure uses 56 lb a bushel. Source: FSA 2026 corn/sorghum/soybean schedule, wheat schedule, national rates. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
FSA farm loan interest rates
| FSA direct loan | Rate |
|---|---|
| Farm Operating - Direct | 5.625% |
| Farm Operating - Microloan | 5.625% |
| Farm Ownership - Direct | 6.250% |
| Farm Ownership - Microloan | 6.250% |
| Farm Ownership - Direct, Joint Financing | 4.250% |
| Farm Ownership - Down Payment | 2.250% |
| Emergency Loan - Amount of Actual Loss | 3.750% |
Set nationally by FSA; the same in every county. Effective Nov 1, 2026. Source: FSA current loan interest rates. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Farm program payments by crop (ARC and PLC)
ARC pays when county crop revenue falls below its guarantee. PLC pays when the national price falls below the reference price. You picked one per crop when you enrolled.
2026 program year guarantees only FSA file of Jan 16, 2026
| Crop | Guarantee | Most it can pay |
|---|---|---|
| Barley | $289.35 | $38.58 |
| Corn | $554.97 | $74.00 |
| Grain Sorghum | $301.84 | $40.25 |
| Oats | $198.58 | $26.48 |
| Sunflower Seed | $262.13 | $34.95 |
| Wheat | $347.71 | $46.36 |
Show the math
| Crop | Benchmark yield × price | Benchmark revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Barley | 50.0 bushel/ac × $6.43 | $321.50 |
| Corn | 122.59 bushel/ac × $5.03 | $616.63 |
| Grain Sorghum | 63.28 bushel/ac × $5.30 | $335.38 |
| Oats | 56.0 bushel/ac × $3.94 | $220.64 |
| Sunflower Seed | 1159.43 pound/ac × $0.25 | $291.25 |
| Wheat | 55.35 bushel/ac × $6.98 | $386.34 |
Dollars per base acre, before the 85% payment-acre factor and sequestration. Source: FSA ARC-CO 2026 county data.
2025 program year final payment rates FSA file of Nov 2, 2026
| Crop | Guarantee | Actual revenue | ARC payment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barley | $210.43 | $278.46 | $0.00 |
| Corn | $502.50 | $508.89 | $0.00 |
| Grain Sorghum | $315.68 | $275.98 | $39.70 |
| Oats | $184.55 | $187.34 | $0.00 |
| Soybeans | $393.32 | $514.29 | $0.00 |
| Sunflower Seed | $276.08 | $370.03 | $0.00 |
| Wheat | $314.98 | $356.12 | $0.00 |
Show the math
| Crop | Benchmark yield × price | Benchmark revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Barley | 38.33 bushel/ac × $6.10 | $233.81 |
| Corn | 111.0 bushel/ac × $5.03 | $558.33 |
| Grain Sorghum | 66.18 bushel/ac × $5.30 | $350.75 |
| Oats | 53.4 bushel/ac × $3.84 | $205.06 |
| Soybeans | 35.91 bushel/ac × $12.17 | $437.02 |
| Sunflower Seed | 1222.12 pound/ac × $0.25 | $306.75 |
| Wheat | 50.14 bushel/ac × $6.98 | $349.98 |
Dollars per base acre, before the 85% payment-acre factor and sequestration. Source: FSA ARC-CO 2025 county data.
PLC, 2026 FSA table of Oct 30, 2026
| Crop | Reference price | Season avg price | PLC payment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wheat /bushel | $6.35 | $6.30 projected | $0.05 projected |
| Barley /bushel | $5.58 | $5.70 projected | $0.00 projected |
| Oats /bushel | $3.05 | $3.35 projected | $0.00 projected |
| Corn /bushel | $4.42 | $4.70 projected | $0.00 projected |
| Grain Sorghum /bushel | $4.67 | $4.50 projected | $0.17 projected |
| Soybeans /bushel | $10.71 | $12.00 projected | $0.00 projected |
PLC rates are national (paid on the farm's PLC yield). Source: FSA 2026 PLC table. FSA decides who is paid.
FSA payments in Osage County
$11,039,665
3,815 payments dated Jan 21, 2025 to Dec 29, 2025 (FSA payment file 2025).
| Program | Year | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Emergency Commodity Assistance Program | 2024 | $4,242,647 |
| Supplemental disaster relief (crops) | 2023 | $3,580,847 |
| Emergency Livestock Relief (2023-24 drought) | 2023 | $1,172,430 |
| Supplemental disaster relief (crops) | 2024 | $878,958 |
| ARC county payments | 2024 | $823,047 |
| LFP drought pasture pay | 2023 | $47,403 |
| CRP annual rent | 2021 | $44,501 |
| CRP annual rent | 2023 | $35,093 |
Plus 17 smaller program lines.
County totals only: Cownty sums FSA's public payment file by county and never stores names or addresses. FSA files payments under its administrative county (Osage), which may differ from where the land is. Source: FSA payment file via the FOIA reading room.
Crop conditions (statewide)
Kansas crop and pasture condition
Kansas statewide, not just your county. Wheat planting is on pace with normal (80% vs 79%). From USDA's weekly Crop Progress report, week ending Oct 25, 2026.
| Condition | Poor or very poor | Fair | Good or excellent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pasture and Range | 31% | 37% | 32% -3 vs last week |
| Corn | 34% | 26% | 40% +0 vs last week |
| Cotton | 32% | 40% | 28% +4 vs last week |
Progress
| Kansas | This week | Last week | Normal (5-yr avg) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Wheat Planted | 80% | 60% | 79% |
| Winter Wheat Emerged | 48% | 30% | 56% |
| Sorghum Harvested | 40% | 30% | 65% |
| Cotton Harvested | 21% | 12% | 29% |
| Corn Harvested | 79% | 70% | 81% |
Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress released Oct 26, 2026 (ESMIS), Kansas rows. Week ending Oct 25, 2026. Fetched Oct 26, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Osage County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Not on FSA's 2026 LFP county list as of Oct 29, 2026. FSA updates the list as drought changes.
What is the drought level in Osage County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Osage County was in no drought, and the worst part was no drought on 0% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Osage County?
No official statewide list to check: Kansas has no statewide official burn-ban list; county commissions set bans and announce them locally (county emergency management or sheriff).
What sale barns are near Osage County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Salina (103 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Exeter (168 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Pratt (175 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 20, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.