Los Alamos County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Los Alamos County, NM was in moderate drought (D1) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map; four weeks earlier 100% of the county was in moderate drought (D1) or worse, now 77%. Over 90 days rain is at 186% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 203% (well above normal); the best rain chance this week is 92% on today (high 57°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Los Alamos County with up to 5 monthly payments, and Belen is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 81 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 203% of normal
- Last 60 days 306% of normal
- Last 90 days 186% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Showers And Thunderstorms, high 57°, low 40°, 92% rain, wind 15–25 mph
- Monday Scattered Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 49°, low 34°, 34% rain, wind 10–15 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 55°, low 35°, 0% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 55°, low 33°, 6% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 53°, low 34°, 1% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 54°, low 34°, 10% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Sunny, high 53°, low 34°, 10% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Los Alamos County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Los Alamos County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
Loading prices…
Loading drought…
Loading programs…
Weather for Los Alamos County
Forecast for the center point of Los Alamos County.
- Flood Watch
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning
- Windy on 1 day
- Today Showers And Thunderstorms 57° 40° S 15–25 mph 92% rain
- Mon Scattered Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny 49° 34° W 10–15 mph 34% rain
- Tue Sunny 55° 35° NE 5–10 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 55° 33° W 5–15 mph 6% rain
- Thu Sunny 53° 34° NE 0–5 mph 1% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 54° 34° SE 0–5 mph 10% rain
- Sat Sunny 53° 34° N 0–5 mph 10% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No official ban list to check here, so Cownty shows the National Weather Service fire-weather alerts for the county instead: none right now. State fire-restrictions page.
Weather warnings right now
- Flood Watch Severe
Flood Watch issued November 1 at 2:09PM MST until November 2 at 11:00AM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM - Severe Thunderstorm Warning Severe
Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued November 1 at 4:33PM MST until November 1 at 5:00PM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 1.93 in; same month last year 2.07 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
Nearest current perimeter: Frijoles (Wildfire, NM), about 25 mi from the county center; 15,949 acres, 100% contained, perimeter of Sep 14, 2026.
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Los Alamos County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Los Alamos weather station (1 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 162-day growing season |
May 2 1 year in 10 it's after May 17 |
Oct 12 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 1 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 182-day growing season |
Apr 20 1 year in 10 it's after May 4 |
Oct 23 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 9 |
Cochiti Dam weather station (16 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 178-day growing season |
Apr 26 1 year in 10 it's after May 8 |
Oct 21 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 8 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 197-day growing season |
Apr 15 1 year in 10 it's after May 1 |
Oct 31 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 17 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Los Alamos, Cochiti Dam), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
Loading money…
Loading deadlines…
Loading land…
Common questions and nearby counties
Is Los Alamos County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Los Alamos County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Los Alamos County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Los Alamos County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 77% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Los Alamos County?
No official statewide list to check: this county is not on the official New Mexico state map; check the county's own fire-restriction notices.
What sale barns are near Los Alamos County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Belen (81 mi), last report Oct 30, 2026; Roswell (199 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 10, 2026: First half of property taxes due to the county treasurer; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.