Le Flore County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of Le Flore County, OK was in severe drought (D2), with 1% at exceptional drought (D4); week 11 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Le Flore County has had 16% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 42% over 90 days, so the past month has been drier than the season so far; Monday carries the week's highest rain chance at 89% (high 80°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. Le Flore County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Ratcliff, 54 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 16% of normal
- Last 60 days 46% of normal
- Last 90 days 42% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Areas Of Fog then Mostly Cloudy, high 76°, low 60°, 5% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny, high 80°, low 61°, 89% rain, wind 5–20 mph
- Tuesday Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 75°, low 46°, 49% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Wednesday Mostly Sunny, high 69°, low 41°, 3% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 72°, low 42°, 17% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 70°, low 41°, 1% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 72°, low 43°, 16% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows 1 open
| What happened | Started | Tell FSA early by | FSA deadline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exceptional drought (D4) reached (U.S. Drought Monitor) | Oct 13, 2026 | Nov 12, 2026 (11 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
If this cost you livestock, extra feed or hauled water, call your county FSA office now, while it's fresh. The 30-day date is a suggestion from Cownty; FSA's deadline for the notice of loss and application is the March 1 date. Log it in your Drought Ledger · Find your FSA office and phone
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Le Flore County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Drought, past 12 months
100% of the county in severe drought or worse, 11 weeks running.
How to read this
Each band is how much of the county was in that drought level that week. Darker = worse. D2 (severe) and darker can trigger USDA drought pay.
Right now: 100% of the county is in severe drought or worse; some of it has been for 11 weeks running. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor, map of Oct 27, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Le Flore County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Le Flore County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Le Flore County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Le Flore County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was exceptional drought (D4) on 1% of the county. 11 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Le Flore County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Le Flore County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Le Flore County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Ratcliff (54 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; McAlester (61 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Siloam Springs (89 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 1, 2026: Property taxes due (bills payable from November 1); Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.