Johnson County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Johnson County, KS showed no drought; 0% of the county is abnormally dry (D0) or worse, down from 3% four weeks earlier. Over 90 days rain is at 113% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 64% (below normal); the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain) and the best rain chance this week is 89% on Monday (high 72°). FSA has not added Johnson County to its 2026 LFP list, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Salina, 150 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 64% of normal
- Last 60 days 121% of normal
- Last 90 days 113% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy, high 66°, low 59°, 18% rain, wind 5–14 mph
- Monday Chance Rain Showers then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely, high 72°, low 59°, 89% rain, wind 12–20 mph
- Tuesday Chance Rain Showers, high 67°, low 46°, 53% rain, wind 10–14 mph
- Wednesday Mostly Sunny, high 61°, low 43°, 3% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Thursday Mostly Sunny, high 59°, low 42°, 11% rain, wind 5–6 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 61°, low 42°, 1% rain, wind 3–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 63°, low 44°, 19% rain, wind 6 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Johnson County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Johnson County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Johnson County
Forecast for the center point of Johnson County.
- Today Mostly Cloudy 66° 59° SE 5–14 mph 18% rain
- Mon Chance Rain Showers then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 72° 59° S 12–20 mph 89% rain
- Tue Chance Rain Showers 67° 46° SW 10–14 mph 53% rain
- Wed Mostly Sunny 61° 43° W 5–10 mph 3% rain
- Thu Mostly Sunny 59° 42° NW 5–6 mph 11% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 61° 42° NNW 3–5 mph 1% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny 63° 44° WSW 6 mph 19% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Johnson County burning rules: Burn Regulations
From the county burning information page on the KDHE Flint Hills Smoke Management site (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. That page says it may be incomplete; call the county before burning.
No official ban list to check here, so Cownty shows the National Weather Service fire-weather alerts for the county instead: none right now. State fire-restrictions page.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.95 in; same month last year 2.00 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Johnson County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Olathe Johnson Co Exec Ap weather station (5 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 204-day growing season |
Apr 8 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 23 |
Oct 29 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 15 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 224-day growing season |
Mar 30 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 13 |
Nov 6 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 25 |
Olathe Johnson Co Ap weather station (5 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 193-day growing season |
Apr 13 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 29 |
Oct 24 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 10 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 214-day growing season |
Apr 3 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 19 |
Nov 2 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 20 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Olathe Johnson Co Exec Ap, Olathe Johnson Co Ap), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Johnson County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Not on FSA's 2026 LFP county list as of Oct 29, 2026. FSA updates the list as drought changes.
What is the drought level in Johnson County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Johnson County was in no drought, and the worst part was no drought on 0% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Johnson County?
No official statewide list to check: Kansas has no statewide official burn-ban list; county commissions set bans and announce them locally (county emergency management or sheriff).
What sale barns are near Johnson County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Salina (150 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Exeter (160 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Siloam Springs (187 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 20, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.