Graham County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of Graham County, KS showed no drought; four weeks earlier 100% of the county was abnormally dry (D0) or worse, now 0%. Rain has run 74% of normal over the last 30 days (below normal) and 156% over 90 days, so the past month has been drier than the season so far; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and the NWS forecast peaks at a 66% rain chance on today (high 66°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Graham County with up to 2 monthly payments, and Dodge City is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 111 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 74% of normal
- Last 60 days 185% of normal
- Last 90 days 156% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Chance Drizzle, high 66°, low 60°, 66% rain, wind 15–25 mph
- Monday Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 73°, low 47°, 55% rain, wind 15–25 mph
- Tuesday Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunny, high 51°, low 36°, 38% rain, wind 5–25 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 56°, low 36°, 9% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Mostly Sunny, high 53°, low 34°, 12% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 57°, low 38°, 4% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 59°, low 39°, 16% rain, wind 0–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Graham County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Graham County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Graham County
Forecast for the center point of Graham County.
- Windy on 3 days
- Today Chance Drizzle 66° 60° SE 15–25 mph 66% rain
- Mon Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 73° 47° SW 15–25 mph 55% rain
- Tue Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunny 51° 36° NW 5–25 mph 38% rain
- Wed Sunny 56° 36° NW 0–5 mph 9% rain
- Thu Mostly Sunny 53° 34° N 0–10 mph 12% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 57° 38° W 0–5 mph 4% rain
- Sat Slight Chance Rain Showers 59° 39° NW 0–10 mph 16% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Graham County burning rules: Burn Resolution
From the county burning information page on the KDHE Flint Hills Smoke Management site (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. That page says it may be incomplete; call the county before burning.
No official ban list to check here, so Cownty shows the National Weather Service fire-weather alerts for the county instead: none right now. State fire-restrictions page.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 1.87 in; same month last year 2.06 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Graham County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Hill City 1e weather station (3 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 166-day growing season |
Apr 29 1 year in 10 it's after May 11 |
Oct 13 1 year in 10 it's before Sep 29 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 185-day growing season |
Apr 19 1 year in 10 it's after May 1 |
Oct 22 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 8 |
Hill City Muni Ap weather station (3 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 169-day growing season |
Apr 27 1 year in 10 it's after May 10 |
Oct 14 1 year in 10 it's before Sep 30 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 188-day growing season |
Apr 17 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 30 |
Oct 22 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 10 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Hill City 1e, Hill City Muni Ap), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Graham County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Graham County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 2 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Graham County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Graham County was in no drought, and the worst part was no drought on 0% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Graham County?
No official statewide list to check: Kansas has no statewide official burn-ban list; county commissions set bans and announce them locally (county emergency management or sheriff).
What sale barns are near Graham County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Dodge City (111 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; Salina (127 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Pratt (135 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 20, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.