De Baca County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of De Baca County, NM was abnormally dry (D0) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, with a sliver (<1%) at severe drought (D2); week 29 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Over 90 days rain is at 228% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 347% (well above normal); the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and today carries the week's highest rain chance at 61% (high 70°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes De Baca County with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Clovis, 66 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 347% of normal
- Last 60 days 353% of normal
- Last 90 days 228% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 70°, low 53°, 61% rain, wind 15–25 mph
- Monday Sunny, high 66°, low 44°, 6% rain, wind 5–30 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 64°, low 41°, 0% rain, wind 5 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 66°, low 42°, 4% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 64°, low 39°, 0% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 64°, low 43°, 17% rain, wind 5 mph
- Saturday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 64°, low 40°, 24% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in De Baca County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
De Baca County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for De Baca County
Forecast for the center point of De Baca County.
- Windy on 2 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 70° 53° S 15–25 mph 61% rain
- Mon Sunny 66° 44° W 5–30 mph 6% rain
- Tue Sunny 64° 41° N 5 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 66° 42° SW 5–15 mph 4% rain
- Thu Sunny 64° 39° N 0–10 mph 0% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 64° 43° SW 5 mph 17% rain
- Sat Slight Chance Rain Showers 64° 40° NW 5–10 mph 24% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No state restrictions
New Mexico Forestry Division (state forester) restrictions for non-municipal, non-federal, non-Tribal land in De Baca County (source), as of Oct 6, 2026. County rules and federal-land rules are separate; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 1.77 in; same month last year 2.39 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (92 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest De Baca County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Yeso 2 S weather station (14 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 188-day growing season |
Apr 18 1 year in 10 it's after May 2 |
Oct 26 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 10 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 211-day growing season |
Apr 7 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 22 |
Nov 3 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 20 |
Sumner Lake weather station (17 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 192-day growing season |
Apr 17 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 30 |
Oct 28 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 13 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 213-day growing season |
Apr 3 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 22 |
Nov 5 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 22 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Yeso 2 S, Sumner Lake), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is De Baca County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. De Baca County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in De Baca County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of De Baca County was in abnormally dry (D0), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on a sliver (<1%) of the county. 29 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in De Baca County?
No burn ban is listed for De Baca County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near De Baca County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Clovis (66 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; Roswell (67 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026; Wildorado (140 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 10, 2026: First half of property taxes due to the county treasurer; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.