Craig County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Craig County, OK in severe drought (D2); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 9 straight weeks. Over 90 days rain is at 60% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 40% (well below normal); the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and the best rain chance this week is 80% on Monday (high 77°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Craig County with up to 4 monthly payments, and Siloam Springs is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 55 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 40% of normal
- Last 60 days 84% of normal
- Last 90 days 60% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Patchy Fog then Mostly Cloudy, high 71°, low 59°, 5% rain, wind 0–15 mph
- Monday Mostly Cloudy then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 77°, low 59°, 80% rain, wind 15–25 mph
- Tuesday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 69°, low 46°, 16% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Wednesday Mostly Sunny, high 65°, low 43°, 2% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Thursday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 67°, low 44°, 17% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 66°, low 44°, 3% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 68°, low 45°, 16% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Craig County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Craig County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Craig County
Forecast for the center point of Craig County.
- Windy on 1 day
- Today Patchy Fog then Mostly Cloudy 71° 59° S 0–15 mph 5% rain
- Mon Mostly Cloudy then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 77° 59° S 15–25 mph 80% rain
- Tue Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny 69° 46° SW 5–15 mph 16% rain
- Wed Mostly Sunny 65° 43° NW 0–10 mph 2% rain
- Thu Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers 67° 44° NW 0–5 mph 17% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 66° 44° N 0–5 mph 3% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny 68° 45° W 0–5 mph 16% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No burn ban
Oklahoma Forestry Services burn-ban map, which carries county commissioners' bans and the Governor's burn-ban proclamations (source, rules). County row as of Oct 5, 2026. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 4.32 in; same month last year 3.45 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Craig County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Spavinaw weather station (27 mi away)
farther away No station with freeze dates is close to the county center, so local dates can differ.
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 209-day growing season |
Apr 7 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 24 |
Nov 2 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 19 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 228-day growing season |
Mar 29 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 12 |
Nov 10 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 27 |
Miami weather station (19 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 203-day growing season |
Apr 6 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 26 |
Oct 27 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 14 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 227-day growing season |
Mar 25 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 10 |
Nov 5 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 21 |
short record Based on only 16 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Spavinaw, Miami), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Craig County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Craig County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Craig County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Craig County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 93% of the county. 9 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Craig County?
No burn ban is listed for Craig County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Craig County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Siloam Springs (55 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Tulsa (59 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026; Exeter (70 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 1, 2026: Property taxes due (bills payable from November 1); Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.