Cherokee County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Cherokee County, OK was in severe drought (D2) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map; week 8 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Over 90 days rain is at 61% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 69% (below normal); the best rain chance this week is 90% on Monday (high 78°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. Cherokee County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Siloam Springs, 33 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 69% of normal
- Last 60 days 64% of normal
- Last 90 days 61% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Patchy Fog then Mostly Cloudy, high 74°, low 60°, 3% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 78°, low 59°, 90% rain, wind 10–15 mph
- Tuesday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunny, high 72°, low 46°, 23% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Wednesday Mostly Sunny, high 67°, low 43°, 2% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 70°, low 43°, 15% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 69°, low 43°, 2% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 71°, low 45°, 17% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Cherokee County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Cherokee County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| Siloam Springs 33 mi | Oct 29 | $405 |
| Tulsa 53 mi | Oct 26 | $413 |
| Ratcliff 75 mi | Oct 28 | $392 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Cherokee County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Cherokee County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Cherokee County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Cherokee County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 100% of the county. 8 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Cherokee County?
No burn ban is listed for Cherokee County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Cherokee County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Siloam Springs (33 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Tulsa (53 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026; Ratcliff (75 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 1, 2026: Property taxes due (bills payable from November 1); Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.