Chautauqua County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Chautauqua County, KS was in moderate drought (D1); 63% of the county is in moderate drought (D1) or worse, down from 100% four weeks earlier. Over 90 days rain is at 77% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 99% (near normal); the best rain chance this week is 89% on Monday (high 73°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. Chautauqua County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 3 monthly payments, and Tulsa is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 73 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 99% of normal
- Last 60 days 104% of normal
- Last 90 days 77% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy, high 72°, low 63°, 5% rain, wind 6–14 mph
- Monday Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely, high 73°, low 56°, 89% rain, wind 9–20 mph
- Tuesday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 68°, low 46°, 17% rain, wind 6–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 68°, low 44°, 7% rain, wind 5–9 mph
- Thursday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 65°, low 42°, 17% rain, wind 2–8 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 65°, low 43°, 1% rain, wind 3–6 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 68°, low 45°, 25% rain, wind 2–7 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Chautauqua County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Chautauqua County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Chautauqua County
Forecast for the center point of Chautauqua County.
- Today Mostly Cloudy 72° 63° SSE 6–14 mph 5% rain
- Mon Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 73° 56° S 9–20 mph 89% rain
- Tue Slight Chance Rain Showers 68° 46° W 6–15 mph 17% rain
- Wed Sunny 68° 44° W 5–9 mph 7% rain
- Thu Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny 65° 42° NNW 2–8 mph 17% rain
- Fri Sunny 65° 43° N 3–6 mph 1% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny 68° 45° WNW 2–7 mph 25% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Chautauqua County burning rules: Burn Regulations
From the county burning information page on the KDHE Flint Hills Smoke Management site (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. That page says it may be incomplete; call the county before burning.
No official ban list to check here, so Cownty shows the National Weather Service fire-weather alerts for the county instead: none right now. State fire-restrictions page.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.53 in; same month last year 4.43 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Chautauqua County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Sedan weather station (4 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 199-day growing season |
Apr 9 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 27 |
Oct 27 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 12 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 221-day growing season |
Mar 29 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 14 |
Nov 4 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 21 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Sedan), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Chautauqua County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Chautauqua County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 3 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Chautauqua County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Chautauqua County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 63% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Chautauqua County?
No official statewide list to check: Kansas has no statewide official burn-ban list; county commissions set bans and announce them locally (county emergency management or sheriff).
What sale barns are near Chautauqua County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Tulsa (73 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026; Siloam Springs (116 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Exeter (132 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 20, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.