Chautauqua County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Chautauqua County, KS was in moderate drought (D1); 63% of the county is in moderate drought (D1) or worse, down from 100% four weeks earlier. Over 90 days rain is at 77% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 99% (near normal); the best rain chance this week is 89% on Monday (high 73°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. Chautauqua County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 3 monthly payments, and Tulsa is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 73 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 99% of normal
- Last 60 days 104% of normal
- Last 90 days 77% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy, high 72°, low 63°, 5% rain, wind 6–14 mph
- Monday Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely, high 73°, low 56°, 89% rain, wind 9–20 mph
- Tuesday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 68°, low 46°, 17% rain, wind 6–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 68°, low 44°, 7% rain, wind 5–9 mph
- Thursday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 65°, low 42°, 17% rain, wind 2–8 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 65°, low 43°, 1% rain, wind 3–6 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 68°, low 45°, 25% rain, wind 2–7 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Chautauqua County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Chautauqua County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| Tulsa 73 mi | Oct 26 | $413 |
| Siloam Springs 116 mi | Oct 29 | $405 |
| Exeter 132 mi | Oct 27 | $399 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Chautauqua County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Chautauqua County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 3 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Chautauqua County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Chautauqua County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 63% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Chautauqua County?
No official statewide list to check: Kansas has no statewide official burn-ban list; county commissions set bans and announce them locally (county emergency management or sheriff).
What sale barns are near Chautauqua County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Tulsa (73 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026; Siloam Springs (116 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Exeter (132 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 20, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.