Chase County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Chase County, KS showed no drought on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, though 5% at abnormally dry (D0); 5% of the county is abnormally dry (D0) or worse, the same as four weeks earlier. Over 90 days rain is at 156% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 86% (near normal); Monday carries the week's highest rain chance at 70% (high 73°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. Chase County is not on FSA's 2026 LFP list yet, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Salina, 66 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 86% of normal
- Last 60 days 176% of normal
- Last 90 days 156% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy, high 70°, low 61°, 30% rain, wind 8–21 mph
- Monday Showers And Thunderstorms Likely, high 73°, low 53°, 70% rain, wind 8–25 mph
- Tuesday Chance Rain Showers, high 64°, low 43°, 51% rain, wind 8–17 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 64°, low 41°, 17% rain, wind 3–10 mph
- Thursday Mostly Sunny, high 61°, low 40°, 14% rain, wind 3–8 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 62°, low 42°, 2% rain, wind 2–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 66°, low 43°, 22% rain, wind 2–6 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Chase County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag
Neither Chase County nor any county touching it is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| Salina 66 mi | Oct 29 | $423 |
| Pratt 122 mi | Oct 29 | $452 |
| Tulsa 155 mi | Oct 26 | $413 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
Guide: How to read a USDA sale barn report
All weights at the 3 nearest barns
4 more within 200 mi: Exeter (184 mi), Siloam Springs (185 mi), Dodge City (189 mi), Woodward (200 mi).
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Chase County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Not on FSA's 2026 LFP county list as of Oct 29, 2026. FSA updates the list as drought changes.
What is the drought level in Chase County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Chase County was in no drought, and the worst part was abnormally dry (D0) on 5% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Chase County?
No official statewide list to check: Kansas has no statewide official burn-ban list; county commissions set bans and announce them locally (county emergency management or sheriff).
What sale barns are near Chase County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Salina (66 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Pratt (122 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Tulsa (155 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 20, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.